VATE

INNOVATE Corp.

61
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

VATE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over VATE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

VATE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Weak

VATE's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

VATE PE Valuation

VATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

VATE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VATE's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

VATE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+120%$10.71
Downside-55%$2.21

Calculated from the latest close: $4.86 on Nov 12.

VATE trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VATE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VATE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.80Q1 2024: $-5.70Q2 2024: $-3.40Q3 2024: $-3.68Q4 2024: $-4.16Q1 2025: $-3.85Q2 2025: $-6.52Q3 2025: $-6.05Q4 2025: $-4.84Q1 2026: $-4.24Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-0.05
Q4 2023: $-4.80Q1 2024: $-5.70Q2 2024: $-3.40Q3 2024: $-3.68Q4 2024: $-4.16Q1 2025: $-3.85Q2 2025: $-6.52Q3 2025: $-6.05Q4 2025: $-4.84Q1 2026: $-4.24Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-0.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.05+$6.00
Q2 2026-$1.86+$4.66
Q1 2026-$4.24-$0.39
Q4 2025-$4.84-$0.68
Q3 2025-$6.05-$2.37
Q2 2025-$6.52-$3.12
Q1 2025-$3.85+$1.85
Q4 2024-$4.16+$0.64

VATE lost $0.05 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over VATE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VATE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $315MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $274MQ2 2025: $242MQ3 2025: $347MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $365MQ2 2026: $422MQ3 2026: $496M
Q4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $315MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $274MQ2 2025: $242MQ3 2025: $347MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $365MQ2 2026: $422MQ3 2026: $496M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$495.5M+43%
Q2 2026$421.6M+74%
Q1 2026$364.8M+33%
Q4 2025$382.7M+62%
Q3 2025$347.1M+43%
Q2 2025$242M-23%
Q1 2025$274.2M-13%
Q4 2024$236.6M-34%

VATE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $496M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.3B last quarter, up 61% from the same quarter a year ago.

VATE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34.8M+83%
Q2 2026-$24.7M-155%
Q1 2026$45.3M+$64.1M
Q4 2025$101.1M+196%
Q3 2025$19M+$50.5M
Q2 2025$44.8M+143%
Q1 2025-$18.8M+$12.2M
Q4 2024$34.2M-40%

VATE generated $157M in free cash flow over the past year, up 98% from the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over VATE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VATE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-264K shares
1 year+3.3%+440K shares
3 years+75%+5.9M shares
5 years+78%+6M shares
Available history+206%+9.2M shares

VATE has 14M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over VATE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VATE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.5xQ1 2024: 10.7xQ2 2024: 7.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 14.6xQ3 2025: 15.2xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 5.3x
Q4 2023: 11.5xQ1 2024: 10.7xQ2 2024: 7.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 14.6xQ3 2025: 15.2xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.3xHigh
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20269.2xHigh
Q4 202510.4xHigh
Q3 202515.2xHigh
Q2 202514.6xHigh
Q1 20259.6xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

VATE's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over VATE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VATE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.5Neutral
Stochastic2.3Oversold

VATE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

VATE PE vs Industrials Sector

VATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

VATE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2122% below
20 week MA$7.9139% below
50 week MA$8.4142% below
100 week MA$7.3834% below
200 week MA$10.252% below

VATE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over VATE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VATE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.1$36.8+74%
2021$36.8$37.3+1.4%
2022$37.3$14.2-62%
2023$14.2$12.3-13%
2024$12.3$5.33-57%
2025$5.33$4.92-7.7%
2026 YTD$4.92$4.86-1.2%

VATE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 1.2% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over VATE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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