VATE

INNOVATE Corp.

61
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

VATE lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

VATE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Weak

VATE's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

VATE PE Valuation

VATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VATE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VATE's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

VATE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+120%$10.71
Downside-55%$2.21

Calculated from the latest close: $4.86 on Nov 12.

VATE's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +120% against −55%.

VATE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.80Q1 2024: $-5.70Q2 2024: $-3.40Q3 2024: $-3.68Q4 2024: $-4.16Q1 2025: $-3.85Q2 2025: $-6.52Q3 2025: $-6.05Q4 2025: $-4.84Q1 2026: $-4.24Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-0.05
Q4 2023: $-4.80Q1 2024: $-5.70Q2 2024: $-3.40Q3 2024: $-3.68Q4 2024: $-4.16Q1 2025: $-3.85Q2 2025: $-6.52Q3 2025: $-6.05Q4 2025: $-4.84Q1 2026: $-4.24Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-0.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.05+$6.00
Q2 2026-$1.86+$4.66
Q1 2026-$4.24-$0.39
Q4 2025-$4.84-$0.68
Q3 2025-$6.05-$2.37
Q2 2025-$6.52-$3.12
Q1 2025-$3.85+$1.85
Q4 2024-$4.16+$0.64

VATE lost $0.05 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

VATE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $315MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $274MQ2 2025: $242MQ3 2025: $347MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $365MQ2 2026: $422MQ3 2026: $496M
Q4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $315MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $274MQ2 2025: $242MQ3 2025: $347MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $365MQ2 2026: $422MQ3 2026: $496M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$495.5M+43%
Q2 2026$421.6M+74%
Q1 2026$364.8M+33%
Q4 2025$382.7M+62%
Q3 2025$347.1M+43%
Q2 2025$242M-23%
Q1 2025$274.2M-13%
Q4 2024$236.6M-34%

VATE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $496M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

VATE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34.8M+83%
Q2 2026-$24.7M-155%
Q1 2026$45.3M+$64.1M
Q4 2025$101.1M+196%
Q3 2025$19M+$50.5M
Q2 2025$44.8M+143%
Q1 2025-$18.8M+$12.2M
Q4 2024$34.2M-40%

VATE generated $157M in free cash flow over the past year, up 98% from the year before.

VATE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-264K shares
1 year+3.3%+440K shares
3 years+75%+5.9M shares
5 years+78%+6M shares
Available history+206%+9.2M shares

VATE has 14M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

VATE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.5xQ1 2024: 10.7xQ2 2024: 7.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 14.6xQ3 2025: 15.2xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 5.3x
Q4 2023: 11.5xQ1 2024: 10.7xQ2 2024: 7.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 14.6xQ3 2025: 15.2xQ4 2025: 10.4xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.3xHigh
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20269.2xHigh
Q4 202510.4xHigh
Q3 202515.2xHigh
Q2 202514.6xHigh
Q1 20259.6xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

VATE's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago.

VATE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.5Neutral
Stochastic2.3Oversold

VATE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

VATE PE vs Industrials Sector

VATE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VATE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2122% below
20 week MA$7.9139% below
50 week MA$8.4142% below
100 week MA$7.3834% below
200 week MA$10.252% below

VATE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

VATE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.1$36.8+74%
2021$36.8$37.3+1.4%
2022$37.3$14.2-62%
2023$14.2$12.3-13%
2024$12.3$5.33-57%
2025$5.33$4.92-7.7%
2026 YTD$4.92$4.86-1.2%

VATE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 1.2% so far in 2026.

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