TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
W
Wayfair Inc.
W has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
W Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
W's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
W PE Valuation
W has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
W Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
W has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA has the edge over W on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
W Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.81 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.26 | +$1.29 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.47 | -$0.08 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.35 | +$0.49 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.44 | +$1.57 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.55 | +$1.89 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.39 | +$2.85 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.84 | +$2.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.01 | +$2.46 |
W is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.26 per share over the past year, against $12.72 at its worst in early 2023.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
W Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B | +9.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +6.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.3B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | 0% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.1B | +0.2% |
W has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | +6.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.5% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8% | +1.8 points |
W has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
W Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $168M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $334M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | -$77M | +$24M |
| Q4 2025 | $177M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $128M | +300% |
| Q2 2025 | $260M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | -$101M | +$51M |
| Q4 2024 | $142M | +28% |
W has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over W on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
W Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.5% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +6.2% | +8M shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +22M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +33.9M shares |
| Available history | +50% | +45.8M shares |
W has 138M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | $75M |
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over W on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
W Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 12.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 33.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 103.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 5.9x | High |
W's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
W Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.1 | Neutral |
W's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
W PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | W | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
W has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
W Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $108.0 | 3.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $101.0 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $91.2 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $74.9 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $63.9 | 74% above |
W is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
W Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $92.1 | $252.8 | +175% |
| 2021 | $252.8 | $204.4 | -19% |
| 2022 | $204.4 | $33.6 | -84% |
| 2023 | $33.6 | $61.7 | +84% |
| 2024 | $61.7 | $43.8 | -29% |
| 2025 | $43.8 | $102.2 | +134% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.2 | $111.5 | +9.1% |
W has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.