TNL
Travel + Leisure Co.
TNL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over TNL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TNL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
TNL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TNL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $30.55 | -61% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $78.24 | — |
| Fair | 9.6x | $35.89 | -54% |
| Expensive | 19x | $72.44 | -7.4% |
| Current | 21x | $78.24 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TNL has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
TNL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TNL, but weaker profitability.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over TNL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TNL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.52 | +127% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.75 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.69 | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.59 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.44 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.06 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.78 | -2.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.97 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.82 | +10% |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
TNL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $961M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $934M | +2% |
| Q4 2024 | $971M | +3.7% |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2% | -24 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +0.8 points |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
TNL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $111M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $195M | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $19M | -81% |
| Q4 2025 | $92M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $136M | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $195M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $100M | +233% |
| Q4 2024 | $75M | -38% |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
TNL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -3.5M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -11M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -24.8M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -27.2M shares |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75M |
| Q2 2026 | $88M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $90M |
| Q3 2025 | $71M |
| Q2 2025 | $70M |
| Q1 2025 | $70M |
| Q4 2024 | $72M |
TNL spent $340M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
TNL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4x | High |
TNL's net debt is about 8.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.9 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over TNL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TNL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.9 | Neutral |
TNL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
TNL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TNL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 16% above |
| PE % | 88 | 47 | 41 pts above |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
TNL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.0 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $70.5 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $70.9 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $62.8 | 25% above |
| 200 week MA | $52.5 | 49% above |
TNL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
TNL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.9 | $43.0 | -17% |
| 2021 | $43.0 | $53.9 | +25% |
| 2022 | $53.9 | $36.1 | -33% |
| 2023 | $36.1 | $39.1 | +8.2% |
| 2024 | $39.1 | $50.6 | +29% |
| 2025 | $50.6 | $72.5 | +44% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.5 | $78.2 | +7.9% |
TNL has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.