TNL

Travel + Leisure Co.

40
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation13/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TNL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 21x earnings, about twice its usual 9.6x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

TNL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

TNL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

TNL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$30.55-61%
Forward9.2x$78.24—
Fair9.6x$35.89-54%
Expensive19x$72.44-7.4%
Current21x$78.24—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TNL's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TNL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TNL, but weaker profitability.

TNL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$92.60
Downside-29%$55.77

Calculated from the latest close: $78.24 on Nov 12.

TNL's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −29% against +18%.

TNL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $5.95Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.82Q1 2025: $5.97Q2 2025: $5.78Q3 2025: $6.06Q4 2025: $3.44Q1 2026: $3.59Q2 2026: $3.69Q3 2026: $3.75Forward: $8.52
Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $5.95Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.82Q1 2025: $5.97Q2 2025: $5.78Q3 2025: $6.06Q4 2025: $3.44Q1 2026: $3.59Q2 2026: $3.69Q3 2026: $3.75Forward: $8.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.52+127%
Q3 2026$3.75-38%
Q2 2026$3.69-36%
Q1 2026$3.59-40%
Q4 2025$3.44-41%
Q3 2025$6.06+3.6%
Q2 2025$5.78-2.9%
Q1 2025$5.97+11%
Q4 2024$5.82+10%

TNL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.75 over the past year, against $6.06 in late 2025.

TNL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $936MQ1 2024: $916MQ2 2024: $985MQ3 2024: $993MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $934MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $961MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $936MQ1 2024: $916MQ2 2024: $985MQ3 2024: $993MQ4 2024: $971MQ1 2025: $934MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $961MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+5.5%
Q2 2026$1.1B+4.4%
Q1 2026$961M+2.9%
Q4 2025$1B+5.6%
Q3 2025$1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$1B+3.4%
Q1 2025$934M+2%
Q4 2024$971M+3.7%

TNL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

TNL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $153MQ3 2024: $125MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $195MQ3 2026: $111M
Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $153MQ3 2024: $125MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $195MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$111M-18%
Q2 2026$195M0%
Q1 2026$19M-81%
Q4 2025$92M+23%
Q3 2025$136M+8.8%
Q2 2025$195M+27%
Q1 2025$100M+233%
Q4 2024$75M-38%

TNL generated $417M in free cash flow over the past year, down 18% from the year before.

TNL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 70MQ4 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 63M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 70MQ4 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 63M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-800K shares
1 year-5.3%-3.5M shares
3 years-15%-11M shares
5 years-28%-24.8M shares
Available history-30%-27.2M shares

TNL has 63M diluted shares, down 5.3% from a year ago, with $340M in buybacks over the past year.

TNL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 6.5xQ2 2024: 6.4xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.9xQ3 2026: 8.6x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 6.5xQ2 2024: 6.4xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.9xQ3 2026: 8.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.6xHigh
Q2 20267.9xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20256.1xHigh
Q1 20256.4xHigh
Q4 20246.4xHigh

TNL's net debt is about 8.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.9 years a year ago.

TNL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.8Neutral
Stochastic73.9Neutral

TNL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

TNL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTNLSector medianRelative
PE21x18x16% above
PE %884741 pts above

TNL is trading at 21x earnings, a 16% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TNL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.015% above
20 week MA$70.511% above
50 week MA$70.910% above
100 week MA$62.825% above
200 week MA$52.549% above

TNL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% above its 200-week average.

TNL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.9$43.0-17%
2021$43.0$53.9+25%
2022$53.9$36.1-33%
2023$36.1$39.1+8.2%
2024$39.1$50.6+29%
2025$50.6$72.5+44%
2026 YTD$72.5$78.2+7.9%

TNL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 7.9% so far in 2026.

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