TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
WMG
Warner Music Group Corp.
WMG has the edge over TMUS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
WMG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
WMG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
WMG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $31.67 | — |
| Current | 25x | $31.67 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $39.57 | +25% |
| Fair | 36x | $46.67 | +47% |
| Expensive | 44x | $57.23 | +81% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WMG has the edge over TMUS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.
WMG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WMG, with profitability improving.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS has the edge over WMG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WMG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.72 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.29 | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.87 | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.59 | -39% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.57 | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.86 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.97 | +6.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.82 | -3.5% |
WMG earned $1.29 per share over the past year, up 126% from the year before.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS has the edge over WMG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WMG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.6B | +2.8% |
WMG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +6.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 8.8% | -4.6 points |
WMG's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 6.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS has the edge over WMG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WMG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $114M | +1529% |
| Q1 2026 | $107M | +$153M |
| Q4 2025 | $390M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $203M | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$46M | +$34M |
| Q4 2024 | $296M | +44% |
| Q3 2024 | $207M | -13% |
WMG generated $814M in free cash flow over the past year, up 75% from the year before.
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has the edge over WMG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
WMG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +5.4M shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +3.2M shares |
| 3 years | +1.6% | +8.5M shares |
| 5 years | +2% | +10.1M shares |
| Available history | +4.5% | +22.4M shares |
WMG has 524M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $48M |
| Q1 2026 | $22M |
| Q4 2025 | $26M |
| Q3 2025 | $13M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | $17M |
| Q4 2024 | $2M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
WMG spent $109M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over WMG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WMG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
WMG's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
WMG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.8 | Overbought |
WMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS has the edge over WMG on valuation relative to its sector.
WMG PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | WMG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 16x | 49% above |
| PE % | 2 | 25 | 23 pts below |
WMG is trading at 25x earnings, a 49% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.
WMG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.8 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.5 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $28.9 | 9.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $29.9 | 6% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.8 | 2.9% above |
WMG has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.
WMG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.9 | $37.5 | +25% |
| 2021 | $37.5 | $43.5 | +16% |
| 2022 | $43.5 | $35.6 | -18% |
| 2023 | $35.6 | $35.8 | +0.5% |
| 2024 | $35.8 | $31.5 | -12% |
| 2025 | $31.5 | $30.0 | -4.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.0 | $31.7 | +5.7% |
WMG has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.