WMG
Warner Music Group Corp.
WMG's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 25x earnings, below its usual 36x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
WMG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
WMG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
WMG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $31.67 | — |
| Current | 25x | $31.67 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $39.57 | +25% |
| Fair | 36x | $46.67 | +47% |
| Expensive | 44x | $57.23 | +81% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WMG's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
WMG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WMG, with profitability improving.
WMG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.72 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.29 | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.87 | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.59 | -39% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.57 | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.86 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.97 | +6.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.82 | -3.5% |
WMG earned $1.29 per share over the past year, up 126% from the year before.
WMG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.6B | +2.8% |
WMG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +6.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7% | -1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 8.8% | -4.6 points |
WMG's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 6.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WMG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $114M | +1529% |
| Q1 2026 | $107M | +$153M |
| Q4 2025 | $390M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $203M | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$46M | +$34M |
| Q4 2024 | $296M | +44% |
| Q3 2024 | $207M | -13% |
WMG generated $814M in free cash flow over the past year, up 75% from the year before.
WMG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +5.4M shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +3.2M shares |
| 3 years | +1.6% | +8.5M shares |
| 5 years | +2% | +10.1M shares |
| Available history | +4.5% | +22.4M shares |
WMG has 524M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $48M |
| Q1 2026 | $22M |
| Q4 2025 | $26M |
| Q3 2025 | $13M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | $17M |
| Q4 2024 | $2M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
WMG spent $109M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
WMG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
WMG's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.
WMG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.8 | Overbought |
WMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).
WMG PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | WMG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 16x | 49% above |
| PE % | 2 | 25 | 23 pts below |
WMG is trading at 25x earnings, a 49% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
WMG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.8 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.5 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $28.9 | 9.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $29.9 | 6% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.8 | 2.9% above |
WMG has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 2.9% above its 200-week average.
WMG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.9 | $37.5 | +25% |
| 2021 | $37.5 | $43.5 | +16% |
| 2022 | $43.5 | $35.6 | -18% |
| 2023 | $35.6 | $35.8 | +0.5% |
| 2024 | $35.8 | $31.5 | -12% |
| 2025 | $31.5 | $30.0 | -4.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.0 | $31.7 | +5.7% |
WMG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 5.7% so far in 2026.