TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
TMO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UNH has a slight edge over TMO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
TMO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
TMO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
UNH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
TMO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $699 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $514 | -27% |
| Fair | 32x | $610 | -13% |
| Expensive | 37x | $708 | +1.2% |
| Current | 37x | $699 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMO has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UNH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $405 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $325 | -20% |
| Fair | 23x | $410 | +1.2% |
| Current | 23x | $405 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $526 | +30% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
TMO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
TMO has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
UNH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TMO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.95 | +42% |
| Q3 2026 | $18.96 | +9.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.59 | +7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $18.19 | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.74 | +7.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.31 | +8.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.29 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.05 | +9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.53 | +7% |
TMO has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UNH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.65 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.55 | -8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.58 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.28 | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.23 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.17 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.09 | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.89 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.51 | -35% |
UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.
TMO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.1B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $12B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $11B | +6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.2B | +7.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.9B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.4B | +0.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.4B | +4.7% |
TMO's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $12.1B last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +0.7 points |
TMO has the edge over UNH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UNH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.7B | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $112B | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.7B | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.2B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.2B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $111.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $109.6B | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.8B | +6.8% |
UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.7% | -0.4 points |
UNH's operating margin was 5.8% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TMO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | $816M | +126% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +6.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | -3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $361M | -60% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | -15% |
TMO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $7.6B over the past year, up 24% from the year before.
UNH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.3B | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.1B | +79% |
| Q4 2025 | $160M | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.1B | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +1037% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +$7.6B |
UNH has the edge over TMO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TMO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -7M shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -17M shares |
| 5 years | -6.5% | -26M shares |
| Available history | -7.9% | -32M shares |
TMO has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1B |
| Q1 2026 | $3B |
| Q4 2025 | $37M |
| Q3 2025 | $963M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $2B |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
TMO spent $4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 1.9% from the year before.
UNH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -6M shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -34M shares |
| 5 years | -5.5% | -53M shares |
| Available history | -6.6% | -64M shares |
UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $3B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
UNH spent $5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 52% from the year before.
TMO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6x | Moderate |
TMO's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.
UNH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
UNH has the edge over TMO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TMO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 86.6 | Overbought |
TMO's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
UNH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.0 | Neutral |
UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
TMO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | TMO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 26x | 43% above |
| PE % | 79 | 29 | 50 pts above |
TMO is trading at 37x earnings, a 43% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | UNH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 26x | 11% below |
| PE % | 47 | 29 | 18 pts above |
UNH has the edge over TMO on valuation relative to its sector.
TMO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $680.4 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $623.9 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $560.3 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $526.4 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $538.4 | 30% above |
TMO has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
UNH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $394.2 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $400.5 | 1.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $361.2 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $376.0 | 7.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $446.6 | 9.3% below |
UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.
TMO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $326.6 | $458.1 | +40% |
| 2021 | $458.1 | $650.7 | +42% |
| 2022 | $650.7 | $540.7 | -17% |
| 2023 | $540.7 | $530.8 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $530.8 | $526.1 | -0.9% |
| 2025 | $526.1 | $580.7 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $580.7 | $699.4 | +20% |
TMO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.
UNH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $296.0 | $340.8 | +15% |
| 2021 | $340.8 | $495.4 | +45% |
| 2022 | $495.4 | $531.3 | +7.3% |
| 2023 | $531.3 | $526.5 | -0.9% |
| 2024 | $526.5 | $510.0 | -3.1% |
| 2025 | $510.0 | $331.8 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $331.8 | $405.1 | +22% |
UNH has the edge over TMO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.