TMO

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

TMO's fundamentals are strong: it turned 16% of its revenue into free cash flow and free cash flow grew 24%. At 37x earnings, it's trading above its usual 32x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

TMO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

TMO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$699—
Cheap27x$514-27%
Fair32x$610-13%
Expensive37x$708+1.2%
Current37x$699—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMO's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TMO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMO, with profitability improving.

TMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$814.59
Downside-17%$578.01

Calculated from the latest close: $699.44 on Nov 12.

TMO's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +16% against −17%.

TMO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.45Q1 2024: $15.59Q2 2024: $16.12Q3 2024: $15.95Q4 2024: $16.53Q1 2025: $17.05Q2 2025: $17.29Q3 2025: $17.31Q4 2025: $17.74Q1 2026: $18.19Q2 2026: $18.59Q3 2026: $18.96Forward: $26.95
Q4 2023: $15.45Q1 2024: $15.59Q2 2024: $16.12Q3 2024: $15.95Q4 2024: $16.53Q1 2025: $17.05Q2 2025: $17.29Q3 2025: $17.31Q4 2025: $17.74Q1 2026: $18.19Q2 2026: $18.59Q3 2026: $18.96Forward: $26.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.95+42%
Q3 2026$18.96+9.5%
Q2 2026$18.59+7.5%
Q1 2026$18.19+6.7%
Q4 2025$17.74+7.3%
Q3 2025$17.31+8.5%
Q2 2025$17.29+7.3%
Q1 2025$17.05+9.4%
Q4 2024$16.53+7%

TMO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $18.96 over the past year, up 9.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

TMO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10.9BQ1 2024: $10.3BQ2 2024: $10.5BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $11.4BQ1 2025: $10.4BQ2 2025: $10.9BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: $11BQ2 2026: $12BQ3 2026: $12.1B
Q4 2023: $10.9BQ1 2024: $10.3BQ2 2024: $10.5BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $11.4BQ1 2025: $10.4BQ2 2025: $10.9BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $12.2BQ1 2026: $11BQ2 2026: $12BQ3 2026: $12.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.1B+9.1%
Q2 2026$12B+10%
Q1 2026$11B+6.2%
Q4 2025$12.2B+7.2%
Q3 2025$11.1B+4.9%
Q2 2025$10.9B+3%
Q1 2025$10.4B+0.2%
Q4 2024$11.4B+4.7%

TMO's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $12.1B last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $904MQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $361MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $816MQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $904MQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $361MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $816MQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+15%
Q2 2026$1.7B+52%
Q1 2026$816M+126%
Q4 2025$3B+6.5%
Q3 2025$1.8B-3.1%
Q2 2025$1.1B-33%
Q1 2025$361M-60%
Q4 2024$2.8B-15%

TMO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $7.6B over the past year, up 24% from the year before.

TMO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 388MQ1 2024: 384MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 379MQ2 2025: 378MQ3 2025: 378MQ4 2025: 378MQ1 2026: 373MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 371M
Q4 2023: 388MQ1 2024: 384MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 379MQ2 2025: 378MQ3 2025: 378MQ4 2025: 378MQ1 2026: 373MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 371M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-1.9%-7M shares
3 years-4.4%-17M shares
5 years-6.5%-26M shares
Available history-7.9%-32M shares

TMO has 371M diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $4B in buybacks over the past year.

TMO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.1x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.1xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.7xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

TMO's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.

TMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.4Overbought
Stochastic86.6Overbought

TMO's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

TMO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTMOSector medianRelative
PE37x26x43% above
PE %792950 pts above

TMO is trading at 37x earnings, a 43% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$680.42.8% above
20 week MA$623.912% above
50 week MA$560.325% above
100 week MA$526.433% above
200 week MA$538.430% above

TMO has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 30% above its 200-week average.

TMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$326.6$458.1+40%
2021$458.1$650.7+42%
2022$650.7$540.7-17%
2023$540.7$530.8-1.8%
2024$530.8$526.1-0.9%
2025$526.1$580.7+10%
2026 YTD$580.7$699.4+20%

TMO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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