TME

Tencent Music Entertainment Group

54
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

TME offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has a slight edge over TME overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

TME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

TME's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

TME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$9.02—
Cheap12x$9.60+6.4%
Fair32x$26.45+193%
Expensive52x$43.01+377%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TME has the edge over VZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TME, with profitability holding steady.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$12.44
Downside-27%$6.59

Calculated from the latest close: $9.02 on Nov 12.

TME has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails TME on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TME Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.45Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.64Q1 2025: $0.92Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.83
Q3 2023: $0.45Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.64Q1 2025: $0.92Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.83-16%
Q1 2026$0.82-11%
Q4 2025$1.04+63%
Q3 2025$1.05+81%
Q2 2025$0.99+83%
Q1 2025$0.92+84%
Q4 2024$0.64+36%
Q3 2024$0.58+29%

TME has the edge over VZ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.93 over the past year, against $5.34 in late 2021.

TME Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $986MQ4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3B
Q3 2023: $986MQ4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.3B+5.8%
Q1 2026$1.2B+6.7%
Q4 2025$1.2B+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.3B+21%
Q2 2025$1.3B+18%
Q1 2025$1.1B+8.7%
Q4 2024$1.1B+8.2%
Q3 2024$1.1B+6.8%

TME has the edge over VZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

TME Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $216MQ4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $403MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $324MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $430M
Q3 2023: $216MQ4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $403MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $324MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $430M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$429.8M+75%
Q1 2026$350M-7.4%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$552.7M+70%
Q2 2025$245.8M-44%
Q1 2025$378M-6.2%
Q4 2024$324.3M+19%
Q3 2024$324.9M+50%

TME's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 4.7% from the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $39B over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before.

TME Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.3%+4.2M shares
3 years-1.8%-28.7M shares
5 years-7.8%-132M shares
Available history-6.6%-110M shares

TME has 1.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over TME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TME Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.1xQ4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.5x
Q3 2023: -1.1xQ4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.6xNet Cash

TME has the edge over VZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

TME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic58.8Neutral

TME's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

TME PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMESector medianRelative
PE11x16x34% below
PE %122614 pts below

TME has the edge over VZ on valuation relative to its sector.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.585.1% above
20 week MA$8.674% above
50 week MA$11.219% below
100 week MA$14.437% below
200 week MA$12.025% below

TME has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 25% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over TME on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.9$18.9+58%
2021$18.9$6.50-66%
2022$6.50$8.06+24%
2023$8.06$9.01+12%
2024$9.01$11.7+30%
2025$11.7$17.6+50%
2026 YTD$17.6$9.02-49%

TME is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over TME on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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