TME

Tencent Music Entertainment Group

54
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

TME's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 27% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 8 points to 32%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

TME's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

TME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$9.02—
Cheap12x$9.60+6.4%
Fair32x$26.45+193%
Expensive52x$43.01+377%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TME's PE is 11x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TME, with profitability holding steady.

TME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$12.44
Downside-27%$6.59

Calculated from the latest close: $9.02 on Nov 12.

TME's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +38% against −27%.

TME Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.45Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.64Q1 2025: $0.92Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.83
Q3 2023: $0.45Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.64Q1 2025: $0.92Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.83-16%
Q1 2026$0.82-11%
Q4 2025$1.04+63%
Q3 2025$1.05+81%
Q2 2025$0.99+83%
Q1 2025$0.92+84%
Q4 2024$0.64+36%
Q3 2024$0.58+29%

TME earned $0.83 per share over the past year, down 16% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TME Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $986MQ4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3B
Q3 2023: $986MQ4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.3B+5.8%
Q1 2026$1.2B+6.7%
Q4 2025$1.2B+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.3B+21%
Q2 2025$1.3B+18%
Q1 2025$1.1B+8.7%
Q4 2024$1.1B+8.2%
Q3 2024$1.1B+6.8%

TME's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

TME Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $216MQ4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $403MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $324MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $430M
Q3 2023: $216MQ4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $403MQ2 2024: $442MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $324MQ1 2025: $378MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $430M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$429.8M+75%
Q1 2026$350M-7.4%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$552.7M+70%
Q2 2025$245.8M-44%
Q1 2025$378M-6.2%
Q4 2024$324.3M+19%
Q3 2024$324.9M+50%

TME's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 4.7% from the year before.

TME Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.3%+4.2M shares
3 years-1.8%-28.7M shares
5 years-7.8%-132M shares
Available history-6.6%-110M shares

TME has 1.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TME Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.1xQ4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.5x
Q3 2023: -1.1xQ4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.6xNet Cash

TME has more cash than debt.

TME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic58.8Neutral

TME's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

TME PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMESector medianRelative
PE11x16x34% below
PE %122614 pts below

TME is trading at 11x earnings, a 34% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

TME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.585.1% above
20 week MA$8.674% above
50 week MA$11.219% below
100 week MA$14.437% below
200 week MA$12.025% below

TME has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 25% below its 200-week average.

TME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.9$18.9+58%
2021$18.9$6.50-66%
2022$6.50$8.06+24%
2023$8.06$9.01+12%
2024$9.01$11.7+30%
2025$11.7$17.6+50%
2026 YTD$17.6$9.02-49%

TME is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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