TKR
The Timken Company
TKR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over TKR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TKR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
TKR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
TKR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $50.52 | -54% |
| Fair | 15x | $62.02 | -44% |
| Forward | 16x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $82.47 | -25% |
| Current | 27x | $110 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKR's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over TKR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TKR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TKR, with profitability improving.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
TKR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.09 | +75% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.04 | -4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.69 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | -5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.11 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.23 | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.40 | -9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.64 | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.99 | -8.6% |
TKR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.04 over the past year, against $5.95 in late 2023.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over TKR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TKR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | -0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | -1.6% |
TKR's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -0.4 points |
TKR's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over TKR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over TKR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TKR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $221.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.5M | +2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $500K | -98% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.7M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $163.8M | +86% |
| Q2 2025 | $78.2M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.4M | +350% |
| Q4 2024 | $125M | +66% |
TKR generated $443M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over TKR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TKR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -261K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -277K shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -1.7M shares |
| 5 years | -9.3% | -7.2M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -7.1M shares |
TKR has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $63.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $20M |
| Q1 2026 | $28M |
| Q4 2025 | $11.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $22.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $23.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.1M |
TKR spent $124M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
TKR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
TKR's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over TKR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TKR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.4 | Oversold |
TKR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
TKR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TKR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 24x | 14% above |
| PE % | 94 | 58 | 36 pts above |
TKR has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
TKR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $112.6 | 2% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.2 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $112.9 | 2.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $93.7 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $87.3 | 27% above |
TKR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
TKR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $56.6 | $77.4 | +37% |
| 2021 | $77.4 | $67.4 | -13% |
| 2022 | $67.4 | $70.7 | +4.9% |
| 2023 | $70.7 | $80.2 | +13% |
| 2024 | $80.2 | $71.5 | -11% |
| 2025 | $71.5 | $86.5 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.5 | $110.4 | +28% |
TKR has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.