TKR
The Timken Company
TKR's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 27x earnings, above its usual 15x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
TKR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
TKR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
TKR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $50.52 | -54% |
| Fair | 15x | $62.02 | -44% |
| Forward | 16x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $82.47 | -25% |
| Current | 27x | $110 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKR's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
TKR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TKR, with profitability improving.
TKR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.09 | +75% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.04 | -4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.69 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | -5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.11 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.23 | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.40 | -9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.64 | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.99 | -8.6% |
TKR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.04 over the past year, against $5.95 in late 2023.
TKR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | -0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | -1.6% |
TKR's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -0.4 points |
TKR's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TKR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $221.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.5M | +2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $500K | -98% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.7M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $163.8M | +86% |
| Q2 2025 | $78.2M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.4M | +350% |
| Q4 2024 | $125M | +66% |
TKR generated $443M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
TKR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -261K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -277K shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -1.7M shares |
| 5 years | -9.3% | -7.2M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -7.1M shares |
TKR has 70M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $63.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $20M |
| Q1 2026 | $28M |
| Q4 2025 | $11.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $22.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $23.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.1M |
TKR spent $124M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
TKR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
TKR's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.
TKR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.4 | Oversold |
TKR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
TKR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TKR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 24x | 14% above |
| PE % | 94 | 58 | 36 pts above |
TKR is trading at 27x earnings, a 14% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
TKR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $112.6 | 2% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.2 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $112.9 | 2.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $93.7 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $87.3 | 27% above |
TKR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.
TKR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $56.6 | $77.4 | +37% |
| 2021 | $77.4 | $67.4 | -13% |
| 2022 | $67.4 | $70.7 | +4.9% |
| 2023 | $70.7 | $80.2 | +13% |
| 2024 | $80.2 | $71.5 | -11% |
| 2025 | $71.5 | $86.5 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.5 | $110.4 | +28% |
TKR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 28% so far in 2026.