TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO has the edge over TMUS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TKO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
TKO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
TKO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $194 | — |
| Current | 52x | $194 | — |
| Cheap | 65x | $243 | +25% |
| Fair | 78x | $290 | +49% |
| Expensive | 88x | $325 | +68% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKO's PE is in its cheap range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS has the edge over TKO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TKO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TKO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.
TKO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.51 | +102% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.71 | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.85 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.68 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.25 | +11150% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.61 | +$3.26 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +$3.61 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.97 | +$3.21 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | -98% |
TKO has the edge over TMUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
TKO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +101% |
| Q4 2024 | $642.2M | +4.6% |
TKO has the edge over TMUS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | -10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +52 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +5.6 points |
TKO has the edge over TMUS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS's operating margin was 24% last quarter, up 3.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TKO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $472.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $373.9M | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.5M | +327% |
| Q4 2025 | $309.9M | +445% |
| Q3 2025 | $416.8M | +76% |
| Q2 2025 | $396.2M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $162.8M | +174% |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M | -74% |
TKO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2021: $1.9B over the past year, up 79% from the year before.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS generated $18.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 8.8% from the year before.
TKO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -63% | -125M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -10.1M shares |
TKO has the edge over TMUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $156.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $129.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $838.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
TKO spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year.
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $12B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
TKO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
TKO's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over TKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TKO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.1 | Neutral |
TKO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
TKO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TKO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52x | 16x | 217% above |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
TKO is trading at 52x earnings, a 217% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS has the edge over TKO on valuation relative to its sector.
TKO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $181.3 | 7% above |
| 20 week MA | $185.4 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $195.0 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.5 | 6.9% above |
TKO has stronger trend alignment. TKO is above 3 of 4 weekly averages versus TMUS above 1 of 5.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.
TKO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $98.1 | $81.6 | -17% |
| 2024 | $81.6 | $144.0 | +77% |
| 2025 | $144.0 | $217.4 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $217.4 | $194.1 | -11% |
TKO has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.