TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 52x earnings, below its usual 78x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
TKO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
TKO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
TKO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $194 | — |
| Current | 52x | $194 | — |
| Cheap | 65x | $243 | +25% |
| Fair | 78x | $290 | +49% |
| Expensive | 88x | $325 | +68% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKO's PE is in its cheap range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
TKO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TKO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TKO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.51 | +102% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.71 | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.85 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.68 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.25 | +11150% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.61 | +$3.26 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +$3.61 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.97 | +$3.21 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | -98% |
TKO earned $3.71 per share over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
TKO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +101% |
| Q4 2024 | $642.2M | +4.6% |
TKO's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | -10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +52 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +5.6 points |
TKO's operating margin was 28% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TKO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $472.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $373.9M | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.5M | +327% |
| Q4 2025 | $309.9M | +445% |
| Q3 2025 | $416.8M | +76% |
| Q2 2025 | $396.2M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $162.8M | +174% |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M | -74% |
TKO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2021: $1.9B over the past year, up 79% from the year before.
TKO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -63% | -125M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -10.1M shares |
TKO has 74M diluted shares, down 63% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $156.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $129.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $838.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
TKO spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year.
TKO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
TKO's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TKO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.1 | Neutral |
TKO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
TKO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TKO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52x | 16x | 217% above |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
TKO is trading at 52x earnings, a 217% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
TKO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $181.3 | 7% above |
| 20 week MA | $185.4 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $195.0 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.5 | 6.9% above |
TKO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 6.9% above its 100-week average.
TKO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $98.1 | $81.6 | -17% |
| 2024 | $81.6 | $144.0 | +77% |
| 2025 | $144.0 | $217.4 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $217.4 | $194.1 | -11% |
TKO has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 11% so far in 2026.