TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
TDG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over TDG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
TDG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
TDG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
TDG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 34x | $1,203 | — |
| Cheap | 39x | $1,391 | +16% |
| Fair | 48x | $1,689 | +40% |
| Expensive | 57x | $2,012 | +67% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TDG's PE is in its cheap range at 34x.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over TDG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TDG Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TDG to show an outlook.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
TDG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.51 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $32.96 | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.04 | +8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.08 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.08 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.15 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $29.64 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.37 | +20% |
TDG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $35.51 over the past year, up 11% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over TDG on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
TDG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.7B | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.3B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +12% |
TDG's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 46% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 48% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 46% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 49% | +4.6 points |
TDG has the edge over VRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over TDG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
TDG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $427M | -3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $650M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $64M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $772M | +8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $441M | -17% |
| Q2 2025 | $573M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $92M | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $710M | +18% |
TDG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.9B over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over TDG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TDG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +200K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -600K shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +400K shares |
| 5 years | -1.4% | -800K shares |
| Available history | +0.3% | +200K shares |
TDG has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $943M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $615M |
| Q4 2025 | $106M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $131M |
| Q1 2025 | $53M |
| Q4 2024 | $316M |
TDG spent $2.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
TDG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.4x | High |
TDG's net debt is about 6.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.8 years a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over TDG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TDG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.9 | Neutral |
TDG's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
TDG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TDG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 24x | 41% above |
| PE % | 7 | 58 | 51 pts below |
TDG has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
TDG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,138.2 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,185.4 | 1.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,239.0 | 2.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $1,304.6 | 7.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $1,175.0 | 2.4% above |
TDG has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
TDG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $564.0 | $606.7 | +7.6% |
| 2021 | $606.7 | $628.0 | +3.5% |
| 2022 | $628.0 | $620.3 | -1.2% |
| 2023 | $620.3 | $1,011.6 | +63% |
| 2024 | $1,011.6 | $1,290.9 | +28% |
| 2025 | $1,290.9 | $1,309.2 | +1.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,309.2 | $1,203.0 | -8.1% |
TDG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 8.1% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over TDG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.