TDG

TransDigm Group Incorporated

68
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TDG's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 34x earnings, below its usual 48x.

TDG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Weak

TDG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

TDG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x194x259x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x194x259x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current34x$1,203—
Cheap39x$1,391+16%
Fair48x$1,689+40%
Expensive57x$2,012+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TDG's PE is in its cheap range at 34x.

TDG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TDG to show an outlook.

TDG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$1,552.09
Downside-14%$1,035.49

Calculated from the latest close: $1,203.00 on Nov 12.

TDG's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +29% against −14%.

TDG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.57Q1 2024: $25.22Q2 2024: $27.04Q3 2024: $25.62Q4 2024: $28.37Q1 2025: $29.64Q2 2025: $30.15Q3 2025: $32.08Q4 2025: $31.08Q1 2026: $32.04Q2 2026: $32.96Q3 2026: $35.51
Q4 2023: $23.57Q1 2024: $25.22Q2 2024: $27.04Q3 2024: $25.62Q4 2024: $28.37Q1 2025: $29.64Q2 2025: $30.15Q3 2025: $32.08Q4 2025: $31.08Q1 2026: $32.04Q2 2026: $32.96Q3 2026: $35.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$35.51+11%
Q2 2026$32.96+9.3%
Q1 2026$32.04+8.1%
Q4 2025$31.08+9.6%
Q3 2025$32.08+25%
Q2 2025$30.15+12%
Q1 2025$29.64+18%
Q4 2024$28.37+20%

TDG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $35.51 over the past year, up 11% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

TDG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B+23%
Q2 2026$2.7B+23%
Q1 2026$2.5B+18%
Q4 2025$2.3B+14%
Q3 2025$2.4B+11%
Q2 2025$2.2B+9.3%
Q1 2025$2.2B+12%
Q4 2024$2B+12%

TDG's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

TDG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $600MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $568MQ3 2024: $531MQ4 2024: $710MQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $573MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $772MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $427M
Q4 2023: $600MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $568MQ3 2024: $531MQ4 2024: $710MQ1 2025: $92MQ2 2025: $573MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $772MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $427M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$427M-3.2%
Q2 2026$650M+13%
Q1 2026$64M-30%
Q4 2025$772M+8.7%
Q3 2025$441M-17%
Q2 2025$573M+0.9%
Q1 2025$92M-49%
Q4 2024$710M+18%

TDG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.9B over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.

TDG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 58M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+200K shares
1 year-1%-600K shares
3 years+0.7%+400K shares
5 years-1.4%-800K shares
Available history+0.3%+200K shares

TDG has 58M diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $2.8B in buybacks over the past year.

TDG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 5.8xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.0x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 5.8xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.0xHigh
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20265.7xHigh
Q4 20255.8xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20255.0xHigh
Q1 20255.3xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

TDG's net debt is about 6.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.8 years a year ago.

TDG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic45.9Neutral

TDG's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

TDG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTDGSector medianRelative
PE34x24x41% above
PE %75851 pts below

TDG is trading at 34x earnings, a 41% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

TDG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,138.25.7% above
20 week MA$1,185.41.5% above
50 week MA$1,239.02.9% below
100 week MA$1,304.67.8% below
200 week MA$1,175.02.4% above

TDG's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.4% above its 200-week average.

TDG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$564.0$606.7+7.6%
2021$606.7$628.0+3.5%
2022$628.0$620.3-1.2%
2023$620.3$1,011.6+63%
2024$1,011.6$1,290.9+28%
2025$1,290.9$1,309.2+1.4%
2026 YTD$1,309.2$1,203.0-8.1%

TDG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 8.1% so far in 2026.

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