SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

69
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SWK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over SWK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SWK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

SWK's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SWK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$78.98-30%
Current20x$113—
Fair22x$121+7.1%
Expensive30x$169+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWK's PE is in its fair range at 20x.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over SWK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SWK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWK to show an outlook.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

SWK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$154.08
Downside-14%$96.88

Calculated from the latest close: $113.02 on Nov 12.

SWK trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SWK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SWK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.59+93%
Q2 2026$4.10+30%
Q1 2026$2.44+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.65+36%
Q3 2025$2.90+$4.26
Q2 2025$3.16+$5.09
Q1 2025$2.42+$3.10
Q4 2024$1.95+$4.02

SWK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.59 over the past year, against $11.10 in late 2021.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.35 over the past year, up 102% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.

SWK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-0.6%
Q2 2026$4B+0.4%
Q1 2026$3.8B+2.7%
Q4 2025$3.7B-1%
Q3 2025$3.8B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.9B-2%
Q1 2025$3.7B-3.2%
Q4 2024$3.7B-0.4%

SWK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over SWK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$585M+277%
Q2 2026$698.2M+418%
Q1 2026-$447.3M+$37.7M
Q4 2025$882.9M+56%
Q3 2025$155.3M-22%
Q2 2025$134.7M-72%
Q1 2025-$485M+$11.7M
Q4 2024$564.6M-13%

SWK generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, about five times what it generated the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over SWK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.3M shares
3 years-1.3%-1.9M shares
5 years-10%-16.7M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.9M shares

SWK has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SWK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20268.4xHigh
Q4 20257.1xHigh
Q3 20259.2xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

SWK's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.2 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over SWK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SWK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Overbought
Stochastic81.3Overbought

SWK's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SWK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWKSector medianRelative
PE20x24x16% below
PE %435815 pts below

SWK has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SWK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.314% above
20 week MA$96.517% above
50 week MA$85.932% above
100 week MA$79.642% above
200 week MA$84.833% above

SWK has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

SWK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.9$179.9+8.5%
2021$179.9$182.2+1.3%
2022$182.2$73.9-59%
2023$73.9$98.1+33%
2024$98.1$80.6-18%
2025$80.6$75.4-6.5%
2026 YTD$75.4$113.0+50%

SWK has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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