SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

69
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SWK's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 6 points to 7.7% and free cash flow more than tripled. At 20x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 22x.

SWK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

SWK's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

SWK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$78.98-30%
Current20x$113—
Fair22x$121+7.1%
Expensive30x$169+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWK's PE is in its fair range at 20x.

SWK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWK to show an outlook.

SWK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$154.08
Downside-14%$96.88

Calculated from the latest close: $113.02 on Nov 12.

SWK's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +36% against −14%.

SWK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.59+93%
Q2 2026$4.10+30%
Q1 2026$2.44+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.65+36%
Q3 2025$2.90+$4.26
Q2 2025$3.16+$5.09
Q1 2025$2.42+$3.10
Q4 2024$1.95+$4.02

SWK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.59 over the past year, against $11.10 in late 2021.

SWK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-0.6%
Q2 2026$4B+0.4%
Q1 2026$3.8B+2.7%
Q4 2025$3.7B-1%
Q3 2025$3.8B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.9B-2%
Q1 2025$3.7B-3.2%
Q4 2024$3.7B-0.4%

SWK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SWK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$585M+277%
Q2 2026$698.2M+418%
Q1 2026-$447.3M+$37.7M
Q4 2025$882.9M+56%
Q3 2025$155.3M-22%
Q2 2025$134.7M-72%
Q1 2025-$485M+$11.7M
Q4 2024$564.6M-13%

SWK generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, about five times what it generated the year before.

SWK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.3M shares
3 years-1.3%-1.9M shares
5 years-10%-16.7M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.9M shares

SWK has 149M diluted shares, down 2.2% from a year ago, with $524M in buybacks over the past year.

SWK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20268.4xHigh
Q4 20257.1xHigh
Q3 20259.2xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

SWK's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.2 years a year ago.

SWK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Overbought
Stochastic81.3Overbought

SWK's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

SWK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWKSector medianRelative
PE20x24x16% below
PE %435815 pts below

SWK is trading at 20x earnings, a 16% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SWK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.314% above
20 week MA$96.517% above
50 week MA$85.932% above
100 week MA$79.642% above
200 week MA$84.833% above

SWK has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 33% above its 200-week average.

SWK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.9$179.9+8.5%
2021$179.9$182.2+1.3%
2022$182.2$73.9-59%
2023$73.9$98.1+33%
2024$98.1$80.6-18%
2025$80.6$75.4-6.5%
2026 YTD$75.4$113.0+50%

SWK is up 50% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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