SWBI

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

61
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SWBI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over SWBI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SWBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SWBI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SWBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x142x189x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x142x189x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.3x$2.38-85%
Fair17x$9.35-40%
Current28x$15.57—
Forward28x$15.57—
Expensive36x$19.91+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWBI's PE is in its expensive range at 28.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27.8x.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over SWBI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SWBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SWBI, with profitability improving.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

VRT has the edge over SWBI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

SWBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$21.49
Downside-13%$13.57

Calculated from the latest close: $15.57 on Nov 12.

SWBI trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SWBI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SWBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.65Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.26Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $0.56
Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.65Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.26Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.56+1.8%
Q3 2026$0.55+104%
Q2 2026$0.41+37%
Q1 2026$0.26-60%
Q4 2025$0.22-72%
Q3 2025$0.27-64%
Q2 2025$0.30-65%
Q1 2025$0.65+14%
Q4 2024$0.78+22%

SWBI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.55 over the past year, against $5.39 in late 2021.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over SWBI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.6M+32%
Q2 2026$178.4M+27%
Q1 2026$135.7M+17%
Q4 2025$124.7M-3.9%
Q3 2025$85.1M-3.7%
Q2 2025$140.8M-12%
Q1 2025$115.9M-16%
Q4 2024$129.7M+3.8%

SWBI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $113M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over SWBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: −$36MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: −$21M
Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: −$36MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.8M-$8.4M
Q2 2026$69.7M+108%
Q1 2026$16.8M+$33M
Q4 2025$16.3M+$27M
Q3 2025-$12.4M+$23.1M
Q2 2025$33.5M-12%
Q1 2025-$16.1M-325%
Q4 2024-$10.7M+$27.1M

SWBI's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $82M over the past year.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over SWBI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+494K shares
1 year+2.4%+1.1M shares
3 years-1.5%-690K shares
5 years-18%-10.2M shares
Available history-18%-9.9M shares

SWBI has 45M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over SWBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SWBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

SWBI has the edge over VRT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has more cash than debt.

SWBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.6Neutral
Stochastic64.3Neutral

SWBI's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SWBI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWBISector medianRelative
PE28x24x18% above
PE %715813 pts above

SWBI has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SWBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.29.3% above
20 week MA$14.29.8% above
50 week MA$13.615% above
100 week MA$11.535% above
200 week MA$12.524% above

SWBI has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

SWBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.08$18.0+154%
2021$18.0$17.6-2.3%
2022$17.6$8.72-50%
2023$8.72$13.6+56%
2024$13.6$9.94-27%
2025$9.94$9.99+0.5%
2026 YTD$9.99$15.6+56%

SWBI has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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