SWBI

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

61
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SWBI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 28x earnings, above its usual 17x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

SWBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SWBI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SWBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x142x189x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x142x189x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.3x$2.38-85%
Fair17x$9.35-40%
Current28x$15.57—
Forward28x$15.57—
Expensive36x$19.91+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWBI's PE is in its expensive range at 28.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27.8x.

SWBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SWBI, with profitability improving.

SWBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$21.49
Downside-13%$13.57

Calculated from the latest close: $15.57 on Nov 12.

SWBI's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +38% against −13%.

SWBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.65Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.26Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $0.56
Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.74Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.65Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.26Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.55Forward: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.56+1.8%
Q3 2026$0.55+104%
Q2 2026$0.41+37%
Q1 2026$0.26-60%
Q4 2025$0.22-72%
Q3 2025$0.27-64%
Q2 2025$0.30-65%
Q1 2025$0.65+14%
Q4 2024$0.78+22%

SWBI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.55 over the past year, against $5.39 in late 2021.

SWBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $113M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $125MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.6M+32%
Q2 2026$178.4M+27%
Q1 2026$135.7M+17%
Q4 2025$124.7M-3.9%
Q3 2025$85.1M-3.7%
Q2 2025$140.8M-12%
Q1 2025$115.9M-16%
Q4 2024$129.7M+3.8%

SWBI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $113M last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

SWBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: −$36MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: −$21M
Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: −$36MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.8M-$8.4M
Q2 2026$69.7M+108%
Q1 2026$16.8M+$33M
Q4 2025$16.3M+$27M
Q3 2025-$12.4M+$23.1M
Q2 2025$33.5M-12%
Q1 2025-$16.1M-325%
Q4 2024-$10.7M+$27.1M

SWBI's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $82M over the past year.

SWBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+494K shares
1 year+2.4%+1.1M shares
3 years-1.5%-690K shares
5 years-18%-10.2M shares
Available history-18%-9.9M shares

SWBI has 45M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

SWBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

SWBI has more cash than debt.

SWBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.6Neutral
Stochastic64.3Neutral

SWBI's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

SWBI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWBISector medianRelative
PE28x24x18% above
PE %715813 pts above

SWBI is trading at 28x earnings, a 18% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SWBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.29.3% above
20 week MA$14.29.8% above
50 week MA$13.615% above
100 week MA$11.535% above
200 week MA$12.524% above

SWBI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 24% above its 200-week average.

SWBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.08$18.0+154%
2021$18.0$17.6-2.3%
2022$17.6$8.72-50%
2023$8.72$13.6+56%
2024$13.6$9.94-27%
2025$9.94$9.99+0.5%
2026 YTD$9.99$15.6+56%

SWBI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +154% in 2020 to −50% in 2022. It's up 56% so far in 2026.

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