STGW

Stagwell Inc.

47
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential26/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

STGW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has the edge over STGW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

STGW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Weak

STGW's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

STGW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x317x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x317x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$11.15—
Cheap38x$1.52-86%
Fair92x$3.68-67%
Expensive145x$5.81-48%
Current279x$11.15—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STGW's PE is in its expensive range at 279x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ has the edge over STGW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

STGW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STGW, with profitability holding steady.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

STGW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$13.00
Downside-47%$5.95

Calculated from the latest close: $11.15 on Nov 12.

STGW trails VZ on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STGW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

STGW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $-0.01Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $0.00Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.08Q1 2026: $0.07Q2 2026: $0.06Q3 2026: $0.04Forward: $1.22
Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $-0.01Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $0.00Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.08Q1 2026: $0.07Q2 2026: $0.06Q3 2026: $0.04Forward: $1.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.22+2958%
Q3 2026$0.04-33%
Q2 2026$0.06+$0.06
Q1 2026$0.07+$0.08
Q4 2025$0.08+300%
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.07
Q2 2025$0.00+$0.04
Q1 2025-$0.01+$0.04
Q4 2024$0.02+$0.07

STGW has the edge over VZ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.93 over the past year, against $5.34 in late 2021.

STGW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $655MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $671MQ3 2024: $711MQ4 2024: $789MQ1 2025: $652MQ2 2025: $707MQ3 2025: $743MQ4 2025: $807MQ1 2026: $704MQ2 2026: $786MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $655MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $671MQ3 2024: $711MQ4 2024: $789MQ1 2025: $652MQ2 2025: $707MQ3 2025: $743MQ4 2025: $807MQ1 2026: $704MQ2 2026: $786MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$816M+9.8%
Q2 2026$786.3M+11%
Q1 2026$704.1M+8%
Q4 2025$807.4M+2.4%
Q3 2025$743M+4.5%
Q2 2025$706.8M+5.3%
Q1 2025$651.7M-2.7%
Q4 2024$788.7M+20%

STGW has the edge over VZ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

STGW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: −$59MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: −$39MQ4 2025: $243MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: −$59MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: −$39MQ4 2025: $243MQ1 2026: −$37MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.8M+$121.5M
Q2 2026$79.2M-26%
Q1 2026-$37.2M+$26.8M
Q4 2025$242.9M+16%
Q3 2025-$38.8M-$34.4M
Q2 2025$107.1M+$130.1M
Q1 2025-$63.9M-$5.4M
Q4 2024$209.9M+1.6%

STGW generated $368M in free cash flow over the past year, up 72% from the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over STGW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STGW Total Shares

Q1 2024: 116MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 264MQ2 2025: 261MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 265MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 246MQ3 2026: 251M
Q1 2024: 116MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 264MQ2 2025: 261MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 265MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 246MQ3 2026: 251M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+5.1M shares
1 year-3.3%-8.6M shares
3 years+117%+136M shares
5 years+233%+176M shares
Available history+263%+182M shares

STGW has the edge over VZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has 4.2B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.

STGW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.5xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

STGW's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ has the edge over STGW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

STGW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.6Overbought
Stochastic89.5Overbought

STGW's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

STGW PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSTGWSector medianRelative
PE279x16x1,590% above
PE %952669 pts above

STGW is trading at 279x earnings, a 1590% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ has the edge over STGW on valuation relative to its sector.

STGW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.5717% above
20 week MA$8.8226% above
50 week MA$7.1257% above
100 week MA$6.3077% above
200 week MA$6.3576% above

STGW has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 76% above its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

STGW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.70$2.66-1.5%
2021$2.66$8.98+238%
2022$8.98$6.27-30%
2023$6.27$6.63+5.7%
2024$6.63$6.64+0.2%
2025$6.64$4.98-25%
2026 YTD$4.98$11.2+124%

STGW has the edge over VZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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