STGW
Stagwell Inc.
STGW's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 279x earnings, about three times its usual 92x. Its downside scenario is about three times its upside.
STGW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
STGW's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
STGW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.1x | $11.15 | — |
| Cheap | 38x | $1.52 | -86% |
| Fair | 92x | $3.68 | -67% |
| Expensive | 145x | $5.81 | -48% |
| Current | 279x | $11.15 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STGW's PE is in its expensive range at 279x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
STGW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STGW, with profitability holding steady.
STGW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.22 | +2958% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.06 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.07 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.08 | +300% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.06 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.00 | +$0.04 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | +$0.07 |
STGW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.04 over the past year, against $0.25 in late 2022.
STGW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $786.3M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $704.1M | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $807.4M | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $743M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $706.8M | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $651.7M | -2.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $788.7M | +20% |
STGW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $816M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.2% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.5% | +2.6 points |
STGW's operating margin was 5.9% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
STGW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.8M | +$121.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $79.2M | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | -$37.2M | +$26.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $242.9M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$38.8M | -$34.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $107.1M | +$130.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$63.9M | -$5.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $209.9M | +1.6% |
STGW generated $368M in free cash flow over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
STGW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.1% | +5.1M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -8.6M shares |
| 3 years | +117% | +136M shares |
| 5 years | +233% | +176M shares |
| Available history | +263% | +182M shares |
STGW has 251M diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $120M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $47.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $29.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $56.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $7M |
STGW spent $120M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 6.8% from the year before.
STGW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
STGW's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
STGW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 73.6 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 89.5 | Overbought |
STGW's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
STGW PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | STGW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 279x | 16x | 1,590% above |
| PE % | 95 | 26 | 69 pts above |
STGW is trading at 279x earnings, a 1590% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
STGW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.57 | 17% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.82 | 26% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.12 | 57% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.30 | 77% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.35 | 76% above |
STGW has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 76% above its 200-week average.
STGW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.70 | $2.66 | -1.5% |
| 2021 | $2.66 | $8.98 | +238% |
| 2022 | $8.98 | $6.27 | -30% |
| 2023 | $6.27 | $6.63 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $6.63 | $6.64 | +0.2% |
| 2025 | $6.64 | $4.98 | -25% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.98 | $11.2 | +124% |
STGW is up 124% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.