SPCE

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

43
Fundamentals13/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

SPCE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over SPCE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SPCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

SPCE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SPCE PE Valuation

SPCE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

SPCE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SPCE's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

SPCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$5.27
Downside-49%$1.36

Calculated from the latest close: $2.67 on Nov 12.

SPCE trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPCE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SPCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-29.80Q1 2024: $-23.40Q2 2024: $-18.56Q3 2024: $-15.62Q4 2024: $-18.64Q1 2025: $-16.02Q2 2025: $-13.13Q3 2025: $-11.56Q4 2025: $-5.44Q1 2026: $-3.87Q2 2026: $-2.90Q3 2026: $-2.20
Q4 2023: $-29.80Q1 2024: $-23.40Q2 2024: $-18.56Q3 2024: $-15.62Q4 2024: $-18.64Q1 2025: $-16.02Q2 2025: $-13.13Q3 2025: $-11.56Q4 2025: $-5.44Q1 2026: $-3.87Q2 2026: $-2.90Q3 2026: $-2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.20+$9.36
Q2 2026-$2.90+$10.23
Q1 2026-$3.87+$12.15
Q4 2025-$5.44+$13.20
Q3 2025-$11.56+$4.06
Q2 2025-$13.13+$5.43
Q1 2025-$16.02+$7.38
Q4 2024-$18.64+$11.16

SPCE is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.20 per share over the past year, against $42.60 at its worst in mid-2023.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over SPCE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $402,000Q4 2024: $429,000Q1 2025: $461,000Q2 2025: $406,000Q3 2025: $365,000Q4 2025: $312,000Q1 2026: $227,000Q2 2026: $134,000Q3 2026: $427,000
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $402,000Q4 2024: $429,000Q1 2025: $461,000Q2 2025: $406,000Q3 2025: $365,000Q4 2025: $312,000Q1 2026: $227,000Q2 2026: $134,000Q3 2026: $427,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$427K+17%
Q2 2026$134K-67%
Q1 2026$227K-51%
Q4 2025$312K-27%
Q3 2025$365K-9.2%
Q2 2025$406K-90%
Q1 2025$461K-77%
Q4 2024$429K-85%

SPCE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $427,000 last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over SPCE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$114MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$117MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: −$91MQ3 2026: −$99M
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$114MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$117MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: −$91MQ3 2026: −$99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$99.1M+$8.6M
Q2 2026-$90.7M+$23.1M
Q1 2026-$93.3M+$28.7M
Q4 2025-$94.6M+$22.1M
Q3 2025-$107.8M+$10.2M
Q2 2025-$113.8M-$260K
Q1 2025-$122M+$4.3M
Q4 2024-$116.7M-$3.1M

SPCE has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$378M over the past year, against −$460M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over SPCE on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SPCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+37%+40.8M shares
1 year+232%+106M shares
3 years+989%+138M shares
5 years+1195%+140M shares
Available history+1460%+142M shares

SPCE has 152M diluted shares, up 232% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over SPCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPCE Net Leverage

SPCE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has more cash than debt.

SPCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

SPCE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

SPCE PE vs Industrials Sector

SPCE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SPCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.752.9% below
20 week MA$2.825.3% below
50 week MA$2.9911% below
100 week MA$3.3821% below
200 week MA$23.088% below

SPCE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over SPCE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SPCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$231.2$517.0+124%
2021$517.0$290.6-44%
2022$290.6$73.0-75%
2023$73.0$49.0-33%
2024$49.0$6.38-87%
2025$6.38$3.16-50%
2026 YTD$3.16$2.67-16%

SPCE has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over SPCE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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