SPCE

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

43
Fundamentals13/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

SPCE lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

SPCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

SPCE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SPCE PE Valuation

SPCE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPCE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SPCE's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

SPCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$5.27
Downside-49%$1.36

Calculated from the latest close: $2.67 on Nov 12.

SPCE's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +97% against −49%.

SPCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-29.80Q1 2024: $-23.40Q2 2024: $-18.56Q3 2024: $-15.62Q4 2024: $-18.64Q1 2025: $-16.02Q2 2025: $-13.13Q3 2025: $-11.56Q4 2025: $-5.44Q1 2026: $-3.87Q2 2026: $-2.90Q3 2026: $-2.20
Q4 2023: $-29.80Q1 2024: $-23.40Q2 2024: $-18.56Q3 2024: $-15.62Q4 2024: $-18.64Q1 2025: $-16.02Q2 2025: $-13.13Q3 2025: $-11.56Q4 2025: $-5.44Q1 2026: $-3.87Q2 2026: $-2.90Q3 2026: $-2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.20+$9.36
Q2 2026-$2.90+$10.23
Q1 2026-$3.87+$12.15
Q4 2025-$5.44+$13.20
Q3 2025-$11.56+$4.06
Q2 2025-$13.13+$5.43
Q1 2025-$16.02+$7.38
Q4 2024-$18.64+$11.16

SPCE is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.20 per share over the past year, against $42.60 at its worst in mid-2023.

SPCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $402,000Q4 2024: $429,000Q1 2025: $461,000Q2 2025: $406,000Q3 2025: $365,000Q4 2025: $312,000Q1 2026: $227,000Q2 2026: $134,000Q3 2026: $427,000
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $402,000Q4 2024: $429,000Q1 2025: $461,000Q2 2025: $406,000Q3 2025: $365,000Q4 2025: $312,000Q1 2026: $227,000Q2 2026: $134,000Q3 2026: $427,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$427K+17%
Q2 2026$134K-67%
Q1 2026$227K-51%
Q4 2025$312K-27%
Q3 2025$365K-9.2%
Q2 2025$406K-90%
Q1 2025$461K-77%
Q4 2024$429K-85%

SPCE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $427,000 last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

SPCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$114MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$117MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: −$91MQ3 2026: −$99M
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$114MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$117MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: −$91MQ3 2026: −$99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$99.1M+$8.6M
Q2 2026-$90.7M+$23.1M
Q1 2026-$93.3M+$28.7M
Q4 2025-$94.6M+$22.1M
Q3 2025-$107.8M+$10.2M
Q2 2025-$113.8M-$260K
Q1 2025-$122M+$4.3M
Q4 2024-$116.7M-$3.1M

SPCE has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$378M over the past year, against −$460M the year before.

SPCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+37%+40.8M shares
1 year+232%+106M shares
3 years+989%+138M shares
5 years+1195%+140M shares
Available history+1460%+142M shares

SPCE has 152M diluted shares, up 232% from a year ago.

SPCE Net Leverage

SPCE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SPCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

SPCE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

SPCE PE vs Industrials Sector

SPCE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.752.9% below
20 week MA$2.825.3% below
50 week MA$2.9911% below
100 week MA$3.3821% below
200 week MA$23.088% below

SPCE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.

SPCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$231.2$517.0+124%
2021$517.0$290.6-44%
2022$290.6$73.0-75%
2023$73.0$49.0-33%
2024$49.0$6.38-87%
2025$6.38$3.16-50%
2026 YTD$3.16$2.67-16%

SPCE has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.

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