SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over WTW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company
WTW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
WTW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
WTW's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WTW.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over WTW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
WTW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $208 | -37% |
| Forward | 15x | $329 | — |
| Current | 20x | $329 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $368 | +12% |
| Expensive | 27x | $441 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WTW's PE is in its fair range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
WTW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WTW, with profitability improving.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI has the edge over WTW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WTW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $21.62 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $16.27 | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.14 | +976% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.03 | +$17.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $16.26 | +$17.22 |
| Q3 2025 | $21.05 | +$28.40 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.50 | -86% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.46 | -105% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.96 | -110% |
WTW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $16.27 over the past year, against $32.78 in late 2021.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over WTW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over WTW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WTW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +7.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B | +8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | -3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | 0% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | -0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +4.2% |
WTW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $2.5B last quarter, up 7.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +4.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +52 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +7.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +3 points |
WTW's operating margin was 17% last quarter, down 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
WTW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $675M | +8.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $425M | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | -$65M | +$21M |
| Q4 2025 | $708M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $621M | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $303M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$86M | -458% |
| Q4 2024 | $599M | +15% |
WTW has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
WTW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -4.1% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -11M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -35M shares |
| Available history | -28% | -36M shares |
WTW has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $220M |
| Q2 2026 | $450M |
| Q1 2026 | $300M |
| Q4 2025 | $350M |
| Q3 2025 | $600M |
| Q2 2025 | $500M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $395M |
WTW spent $1.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 22% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over WTW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WTW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
WTW's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WTW.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
WTW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.5 | Neutral |
WTW's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
WTW PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | WTW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 13x | 55% above |
| PE % | 38 | 63 | 25 pts below |
WTW has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
WTW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $312.7 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $316.2 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $302.5 | 8.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $311.7 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $282.0 | 17% above |
WTW has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
WTW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $201.8 | $211.8 | +5% |
| 2021 | $211.8 | $236.5 | +12% |
| 2022 | $236.5 | $244.4 | +3.4% |
| 2023 | $244.4 | $241.2 | -1.3% |
| 2024 | $241.2 | $316.3 | +31% |
| 2025 | $316.3 | $334.6 | +5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $334.6 | $328.8 | -1.7% |
WTW has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.