SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over VLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
VLY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
VLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
VLY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VLY.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over VLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.5x | $10.70 | -26% |
| Forward | 9.8x | $14.38 | — |
| Current | 11x | $14.38 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $14.81 | +3% |
| Expensive | 13x | $16.91 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VLY's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
VLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VLY, with profitability improving.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
VLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.46 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.26 | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.18 | +51% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.11 | +61% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.01 | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.88 | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | +9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.69 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.69 | -27% |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over VLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
VLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $584.2M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $560.7M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $540.4M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $541.2M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $511.1M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $495M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $478.4M | +5.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $474.2M | +5.4% |
VLY's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $584M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +22 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -1 points |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
VLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $378.4M | +16011% |
| Q2 2026 | $160.2M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $208.2M | +$228.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $187.5M | -51% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3M | +$162.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $156M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.2M | -121% |
| Q4 2024 | $385.8M | +$668.8M |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
VLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -691K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -7.4M shares |
| 3 years | +9.2% | +47M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +147M shares |
| Available history | +55% | +197M shares |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $20.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $51.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $46.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $12M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $390,000 |
VLY spent $153M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over VLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
VLY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VLY.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
VLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.1 | Neutral |
VLY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
VLY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | VLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 12% below |
| PE % | 44 | 63 | 19 pts below |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
VLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.5 | 6.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.0 | 2.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $13.3 | 8.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.5 | 26% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.2 | 42% above |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
VLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.4 | $9.71 | -15% |
| 2021 | $9.71 | $13.6 | +40% |
| 2022 | $13.6 | $11.5 | -15% |
| 2023 | $11.5 | $10.9 | -5.4% |
| 2024 | $10.9 | $9.12 | -16% |
| 2025 | $9.12 | $12.0 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.0 | $14.4 | +20% |
VLY has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.