VLY

Valley National Bancorp

66
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

VLY's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 9 points to 40% and revenue grew 14%. At 11x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

VLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

VLY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VLY.

VLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x8.9x13x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x8.9x13x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.5x$10.70-26%
Forward9.8x$14.38—
Current11x$14.38—
Fair12x$14.81+3%
Expensive13x$16.91+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VLY's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VLY, with profitability improving.

VLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$19.06
Downside-14%$12.35

Calculated from the latest close: $14.38 on Nov 12.

VLY's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +33% against −14%.

VLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.95Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.62Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $1.11Q2 2026: $1.18Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $1.46
Q4 2023: $0.95Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.71Q3 2024: $0.62Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $1.11Q2 2026: $1.18Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $1.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.46+16%
Q3 2026$1.26+43%
Q2 2026$1.18+51%
Q1 2026$1.11+61%
Q4 2025$1.01+46%
Q3 2025$0.88+42%
Q2 2025$0.78+9.9%
Q1 2025$0.69-19%
Q4 2024$0.69-27%

VLY earned $1.26 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

VLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $450MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $453MQ3 2024: $471MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $478MQ2 2025: $495MQ3 2025: $511MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $540MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $584M
Q4 2023: $450MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $453MQ3 2024: $471MQ4 2024: $474MQ1 2025: $478MQ2 2025: $495MQ3 2025: $511MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $540MQ2 2026: $561MQ3 2026: $584M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$584.2M+14%
Q2 2026$560.7M+13%
Q1 2026$540.4M+13%
Q4 2025$541.2M+14%
Q3 2025$511.1M+8.5%
Q2 2025$495M+9.3%
Q1 2025$478.4M+5.2%
Q4 2024$474.2M+5.4%

VLY's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $584M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

VLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$283MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $211MQ3 2024: −$161MQ4 2024: $386MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $188MQ1 2026: $208MQ2 2026: $160MQ3 2026: $378M
Q4 2023: −$283MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $211MQ3 2024: −$161MQ4 2024: $386MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $156MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $188MQ1 2026: $208MQ2 2026: $160MQ3 2026: $378M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$378.4M+16011%
Q2 2026$160.2M+2.7%
Q1 2026$208.2M+$228.4M
Q4 2025$187.5M-51%
Q3 2025$2.3M+$162.9M
Q2 2025$156M-26%
Q1 2025-$20.2M-121%
Q4 2024$385.8M+$668.8M

VLY's free cash flow was $934M over the past year, up 78% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VLY.

VLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 509MQ1 2024: 511MQ2 2024: 510MQ3 2024: 511MQ4 2024: 518MQ1 2025: 563MQ2 2025: 562MQ3 2025: 564MQ4 2025: 564MQ1 2026: 559MQ2 2026: 557MQ3 2026: 556M
Q4 2023: 509MQ1 2024: 511MQ2 2024: 510MQ3 2024: 511MQ4 2024: 518MQ1 2025: 563MQ2 2025: 562MQ3 2025: 564MQ4 2025: 564MQ1 2026: 559MQ2 2026: 557MQ3 2026: 556M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-691K shares
1 year-1.3%-7.4M shares
3 years+9.2%+47M shares
5 years+36%+147M shares
Available history+55%+197M shares

VLY has 556M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $153M in buybacks over the past year.

VLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

VLY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VLY.

VLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic67.1Neutral

VLY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

VLY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVLYSector medianRelative
PE11x13x12% below
PE %446319 pts below

VLY is trading at 11x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.56.7% above
20 week MA$14.02.8% above
50 week MA$13.38.2% above
100 week MA$11.526% above
200 week MA$10.242% above

VLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% above its 200-week average.

VLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.4$9.71-15%
2021$9.71$13.6+40%
2022$13.6$11.5-15%
2023$11.5$10.9-5.4%
2024$10.9$9.12-16%
2025$9.12$12.0+31%
2026 YTD$12.0$14.4+20%

VLY has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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