SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over VCTR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.
VCTR has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
VCTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
VCTR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VCTR.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over VCTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VCTR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.9x | $43.06 | -65% |
| Fair | 11x | $59.64 | -52% |
| Forward | 15x | $124 | — |
| Expensive | 17x | $92.20 | -26% |
| Current | 23x | $124 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VCTR's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
VCTR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VCTR, with profitability improving.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
VCTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.47 | +55% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.45 | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.45 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.45 | -1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.08 | -6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.93 | -2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.06 | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.50 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.38 | +40% |
VCTR earned $5.45 per share over the past year, up 39% from the year before.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
VCTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $396.6M | +9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $435.4M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $388M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $374.1M | +61% |
| Q3 2025 | $361.2M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $351.2M | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $219.6M | +1.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $232.4M | +13% |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | -7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | -15 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | -24 points |
| Q1 2025 | 42% | +3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +6.2 points |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
VCTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $222.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $134.2M | +$141.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $120.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $144.5M | +58% |
| Q3 2025 | $164.8M | +66% |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.5M | -109% |
| Q1 2025 | $79.5M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $91.7M | -4.8% |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
VCTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -311K shares |
| 1 year | -6.7% | -4.5M shares |
| 3 years | -7.7% | -5.2M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -11.6M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -11M shares |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $91.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $127.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $50.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $118.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $26M |
| Q1 2025 | $451,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $96.9M |
VCTR spent $276M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over VCTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VCTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.8x | Healthy |
VCTR's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VCTR.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
VCTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 71.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
VCTR's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
VCTR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | VCTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 13x | 75% above |
| PE % | 99 | 63 | 36 pts above |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
VCTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $113.1 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $108.5 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $87.3 | 43% above |
| 100 week MA | $75.7 | 64% above |
| 200 week MA | $58.3 | 114% above |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
VCTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.9 | $23.8 | +14% |
| 2021 | $23.8 | $36.7 | +54% |
| 2022 | $36.7 | $27.2 | -26% |
| 2023 | $27.2 | $34.4 | +27% |
| 2024 | $34.4 | $66.3 | +92% |
| 2025 | $66.3 | $64.3 | -3% |
| 2026 YTD | $64.3 | $124.4 | +94% |
VCTR has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.