VCTR

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VCTR's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 23x earnings, about twice its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

VCTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

VCTR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VCTR.

VCTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$43.06-65%
Fair11x$59.64-52%
Forward15x$124—
Expensive17x$92.20-26%
Current23x$124—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VCTR's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

VCTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VCTR, with profitability improving.

VCTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$148.28
Downside-19%$100.32

Calculated from the latest close: $124.44 on Nov 12.

VCTR's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +19% against −19%.

VCTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.47+55%
Q3 2026$5.45+39%
Q2 2026$5.45+34%
Q1 2026$4.45-1.1%
Q4 2025$4.08-6.8%
Q3 2025$3.93-2%
Q2 2025$4.06+15%
Q1 2025$4.50+38%
Q4 2024$4.38+40%

VCTR earned $5.45 per share over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

VCTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$396.6M+9.8%
Q2 2026$435.4M+24%
Q1 2026$388M+77%
Q4 2025$374.1M+61%
Q3 2025$361.2M+60%
Q2 2025$351.2M+60%
Q1 2025$219.6M+1.7%
Q4 2024$232.4M+13%

VCTR's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $397M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

VCTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$222.4M+35%
Q2 2026$134.2M+$141.7M
Q1 2026$120.1M+51%
Q4 2025$144.5M+58%
Q3 2025$164.8M+66%
Q2 2025-$7.5M-109%
Q1 2025$79.5M+17%
Q4 2024$91.7M-4.8%

VCTR's free cash flow was $621M over the past year, up 89% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VCTR.

VCTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-311K shares
1 year-6.7%-4.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-5.2M shares
5 years-16%-11.6M shares
Available history-15%-11M shares

VCTR has 62M diluted shares, down 6.7% from a year ago, with $276M in buybacks over the past year.

VCTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

VCTR's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VCTR.

VCTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic72.5Neutral

VCTR's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

VCTR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVCTRSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %996336 pts above

VCTR is trading at 23x earnings, a 75% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VCTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$113.110% above
20 week MA$108.515% above
50 week MA$87.343% above
100 week MA$75.764% above
200 week MA$58.3114% above

VCTR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 114% above its 200-week average.

VCTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$23.8+14%
2021$23.8$36.7+54%
2022$36.7$27.2-26%
2023$27.2$34.4+27%
2024$34.4$66.3+92%
2025$66.3$64.3-3%
2026 YTD$64.3$124.4+94%

VCTR has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 94% so far in 2026.

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