SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over UWMC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

UWMC

UWM Holdings Corporation

41
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UWMC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

UWMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

UWMC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UWMC.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over UWMC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UWMC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.5x$0.04-97%
Fair1.2x$0.10-92%
Forward9.3x$1.27—
Current16x$1.27—
Expensive59x$4.69+269%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UWMC's PE is in its fair range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over UWMC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

UWMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UWMC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UWMC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UWMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$1.74
Downside-31%$0.88

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

UWMC trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

UWMC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.14
Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.14

UWMC and SOFI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over UWMC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UWMC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $570MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $526MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $843MQ4 2025: $945MQ1 2026: $901MQ2 2026: $888MQ3 2026: $811M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $570MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $526MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $843MQ4 2025: $945MQ1 2026: $901MQ2 2026: $888MQ3 2026: $811M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$811.1M-3.8%
Q2 2026$888M+17%
Q1 2026$901.4M+47%
Q4 2025$945.2M+69%
Q3 2025$843.3M+60%
Q2 2025$758.7M+50%
Q1 2025$613.4M+7.6%
Q3 2024$526.4M-22%

UWMC's revenue is growing: $811M last quarter, down 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

UWMC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2.2BQ2 2024: −$1.3BQ3 2024: −$2.2BQ4 2024: −$552MQ1 2025: $576MQ2 2025: −$290MQ3 2025: −$3.1BQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: −$2.2BQ2 2026: $335MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2.2BQ2 2024: −$1.3BQ3 2024: −$2.2BQ4 2024: −$552MQ1 2025: $576MQ2 2025: −$290MQ3 2025: −$3.1BQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: −$2.2BQ2 2026: $335MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.2M+$3.1B
Q2 2026$334.6M+$624.6M
Q1 2026-$2.2B-490%
Q4 2025$82M+$633.6M
Q3 2025-$3.1B-$899.1M
Q2 2025-$290.1M+$1B
Q1 2025$576.1M+$2.8B
Q3 2024-$2.2B-745%

UWMC has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over UWMC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UWMC Total Shares

Q1 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 202MQ3 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 338MQ3 2026: 343M
Q1 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 202MQ3 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 338MQ3 2026: 343M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+5.8M shares
1 year+70%+141M shares

UWMC has 343M diluted shares, up 70% from a year ago.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over UWMC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UWMC Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.9xQ2 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 16.8xQ4 2025: 8.2xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 16.2x
Q4 2024: 5.9xQ2 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 16.8xQ4 2025: 8.2xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 16.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202616.2xHigh
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20258.2xHigh
Q3 202516.8xHigh
Q2 202512.0xHigh
Q4 20245.9xHigh
Q3 20233.4xElevated
Q2 20233.4xElevated

UWMC's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UWMC.

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

UWMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic47.8Neutral

UWMC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UWMC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUWMCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x22% above
PE %546410 pts below

UWMC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over UWMC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UWMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.302.3% below
20 week MA$1.5116% below
50 week MA$3.0258% below
100 week MA$4.1770% below
200 week MA$5.2476% below

UWMC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI has the edge over UWMC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UWMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.30$12.8+37%
2021$12.8$6.38-50%
2022$6.38$3.56-44%
2023$3.56$7.15+101%
2024$7.15$5.78-19%
2025$5.78$4.59-21%
2026 YTD$4.59$1.27-72%

UWMC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +101% in 2023 to −50% in 2021. It's down 72% so far in 2026.

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