UWMC

UWM Holdings Corporation

41
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UWMC's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 28%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 2.8%. At 16x earnings, it's trading about 13 times its usual 1.2x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.

UWMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

UWMC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UWMC.

UWMC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.5x$0.04-97%
Fair1.2x$0.10-92%
Forward9.3x$1.27—
Current16x$1.27—
Expensive59x$4.69+269%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UWMC's PE is in its fair range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x.

UWMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UWMC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UWMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$1.74
Downside-31%$0.88

Calculated from the latest close: $1.27 on Nov 12.

UWMC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +37% against −31%.

UWMC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.14
Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $0.33Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.14

UWMC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $570MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $526MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $843MQ4 2025: $945MQ1 2026: $901MQ2 2026: $888MQ3 2026: $811M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $570MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $526MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $843MQ4 2025: $945MQ1 2026: $901MQ2 2026: $888MQ3 2026: $811M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$811.1M-3.8%
Q2 2026$888M+17%
Q1 2026$901.4M+47%
Q4 2025$945.2M+69%
Q3 2025$843.3M+60%
Q2 2025$758.7M+50%
Q1 2025$613.4M+7.6%
Q3 2024$526.4M-22%

UWMC's revenue is growing: $811M last quarter, down 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

UWMC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2.2BQ2 2024: −$1.3BQ3 2024: −$2.2BQ4 2024: −$552MQ1 2025: $576MQ2 2025: −$290MQ3 2025: −$3.1BQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: −$2.2BQ2 2026: $335MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$2.2BQ2 2024: −$1.3BQ3 2024: −$2.2BQ4 2024: −$552MQ1 2025: $576MQ2 2025: −$290MQ3 2025: −$3.1BQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: −$2.2BQ2 2026: $335MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.2M+$3.1B
Q2 2026$334.6M+$624.6M
Q1 2026-$2.2B-490%
Q4 2025$82M+$633.6M
Q3 2025-$3.1B-$899.1M
Q2 2025-$290.1M+$1B
Q1 2025$576.1M+$2.8B
Q3 2024-$2.2B-745%

UWMC's free cash flow was −$1.8B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UWMC.

UWMC Total Shares

Q1 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 202MQ3 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 338MQ3 2026: 343M
Q1 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 202MQ3 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 338MQ3 2026: 343M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+5.8M shares
1 year+70%+141M shares

UWMC has 343M diluted shares, up 70% from a year ago.

UWMC Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.9xQ2 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 16.8xQ4 2025: 8.2xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 16.2x
Q4 2024: 5.9xQ2 2025: 12.0xQ3 2025: 16.8xQ4 2025: 8.2xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 16.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202616.2xHigh
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20258.2xHigh
Q3 202516.8xHigh
Q2 202512.0xHigh
Q4 20245.9xHigh
Q3 20233.4xElevated
Q2 20233.4xElevated

UWMC's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UWMC.

UWMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic47.8Neutral

UWMC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

UWMC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUWMCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x22% above
PE %546410 pts below

UWMC is trading at 16x earnings, a 22% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UWMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.302.3% below
20 week MA$1.5116% below
50 week MA$3.0258% below
100 week MA$4.1770% below
200 week MA$5.2476% below

UWMC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

UWMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.30$12.8+37%
2021$12.8$6.38-50%
2022$6.38$3.56-44%
2023$3.56$7.15+101%
2024$7.15$5.78-19%
2025$5.78$4.59-21%
2026 YTD$4.59$1.27-72%

UWMC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +101% in 2023 to −50% in 2021. It's down 72% so far in 2026.

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