SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over UVE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
UVE
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
UVE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
UVE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UVE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UVE.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over UVE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UVE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 6.1x | $48.57 | — |
| Cheap | 7x | $55.89 | +15% |
| Fair | 10x | $82.24 | +69% |
| Forward | 13x | $48.57 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $195 | +302% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UVE's PE is in its cheap range at 6.1x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over UVE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
UVE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect UVE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
UVE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.88 | -51% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.00 | +89% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.58 | +231% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.75 | +195% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.31 | +217% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.24 | +72% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.29 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.29 | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.99 | -9.5% |
UVE earned $8.00 per share over the past year, up 89% from the year before.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over UVE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over UVE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UVE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $439.3M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $427M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $393.6M | -0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $407.9M | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $401M | +3.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $400.1M | +5.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $394.9M | +7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $384.8M | +2.5% |
UVE's revenue is growing: $439M last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 22% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9% | -5 points |
UVE's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 2.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
UVE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $100.2M | -4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $153.2M | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $25M | +$127.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $61.3M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $105.2M | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $185.5M | +133% |
| Q4 2024 | -$102.2M | -$101.4M |
UVE has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
UVE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +142K shares |
| 1 year | +1.3% | +377K shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -432K shares |
| 5 years | -6.9% | -2.2M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -5M shares |
UVE has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.4M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7M |
UVE spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 12% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over UVE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UVE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
UVE has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UVE.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
UVE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 69.2 | Neutral |
UVE's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UVE PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UVE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.1x | 13x | 53% below |
| PE % | 10 | 63 | 53 pts below |
UVE has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
UVE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.5 | 4.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.3 | 9.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $38.5 | 26% above |
| 100 week MA | $31.7 | 53% above |
| 200 week MA | $24.6 | 98% above |
UVE has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
UVE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.0 | $14.8 | -47% |
| 2021 | $14.8 | $16.8 | +14% |
| 2022 | $16.8 | $11.0 | -35% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $16.0 | +46% |
| 2024 | $16.0 | $20.6 | +29% |
| 2025 | $20.6 | $33.8 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.8 | $48.6 | +44% |
UVE has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.