UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

UVE's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 6.1x earnings, below its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply.

UVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

UVE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UVE.

UVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.1x$48.57—
Cheap7x$55.89+15%
Fair10x$82.24+69%
Forward13x$48.57—
Expensive24x$195+302%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UVE's PE is in its cheap range at 6.1x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

UVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect UVE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

UVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$60.50
Downside-16%$40.84

Calculated from the latest close: $48.57 on Nov 12.

UVE's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −16%.

UVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.55Q2 2024: $2.83Q3 2024: $2.46Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $4.24Q4 2025: $6.31Q1 2026: $6.75Q2 2026: $7.58Q3 2026: $8.00Forward: $3.88
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.55Q2 2024: $2.83Q3 2024: $2.46Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $4.24Q4 2025: $6.31Q1 2026: $6.75Q2 2026: $7.58Q3 2026: $8.00Forward: $3.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.88-51%
Q3 2026$8.00+89%
Q2 2026$7.58+231%
Q1 2026$6.75+195%
Q4 2025$6.31+217%
Q3 2025$4.24+72%
Q2 2025$2.29-19%
Q1 2025$2.29-10%
Q4 2024$1.99-9.5%

UVE earned $8.00 per share over the past year, up 89% from the year before.

UVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $375MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $401MQ4 2025: $408MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: $439M
Q4 2023: $375MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $401MQ4 2025: $408MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: $439M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.3M+9.6%
Q2 2026$427M+6.7%
Q1 2026$393.6M-0.3%
Q4 2025$407.9M+6%
Q3 2025$401M+3.5%
Q2 2025$400.1M+5.2%
Q1 2025$394.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$384.8M+2.5%

UVE's revenue is growing: $439M last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

UVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$810,000Q1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: −$102MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: −$810,000Q1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: −$102MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82M+34%
Q2 2026$100.2M-4.8%
Q1 2026$153.2M-17%
Q4 2025$25M+$127.2M
Q3 2025$61.3M-24%
Q2 2025$105.2M+47%
Q1 2025$185.5M+133%
Q4 2024-$102.2M-$101.4M

UVE's free cash flow was $360M over the past year, up 44% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UVE.

UVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+142K shares
1 year+1.3%+377K shares
3 years-1.5%-432K shares
5 years-6.9%-2.2M shares
Available history-15%-5M shares

UVE has 29M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago, despite $26M in buybacks over the past year.

UVE Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

UVE has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UVE.

UVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

UVE's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

UVE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUVESector medianRelative
PE6.1x13x53% below
PE %106353 pts below

UVE is trading at 6.1x earnings, a 53% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.54.5% above
20 week MA$44.39.5% above
50 week MA$38.526% above
100 week MA$31.753% above
200 week MA$24.698% above

UVE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 98% above its 200-week average.

UVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.0$14.8-47%
2021$14.8$16.8+14%
2022$16.8$11.0-35%
2023$11.0$16.0+46%
2024$16.0$20.6+29%
2025$20.6$33.8+64%
2026 YTD$33.8$48.6+44%

UVE has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 44% so far in 2026.

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