SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has a slight edge over UMBF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation
UMBF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
UMBF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UMBF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UMBF.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over UMBF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UMBF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.7x | $133 | — |
| Cheap | 10x | $135 | +0.9% |
| Current | 10x | $133 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $160 | +20% |
| Expensive | 14x | $188 | +41% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UMBF's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.7x.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over UMBF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
UMBF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UMBF, with profitability improving.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
UMBF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.71 | +2.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.37 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.17 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.43 | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.29 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.83 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.70 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.95 | +5.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.99 | +25% |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over UMBF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
UMBF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $772.4M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $778M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $739.2M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $720.9M | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $678.3M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $689.2M | +77% |
| Q1 2025 | $563.8M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $434.2M | +17% |
UMBF's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $772M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | +9.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +5.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +28 points |
| Q4 2025 | 38% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 35% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +7.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +12 points |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
UMBF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $358.9M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $330.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $356.8M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $95.3M | +$172.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $257.8M | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $270.8M | +154% |
| Q1 2025 | $354.2M | +559% |
| Q4 2024 | -$77.1M | -195% |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
UMBF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +112K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +137K shares |
| 3 years | +57% | +27.8M shares |
| 5 years | +57% | +27.8M shares |
| Available history | +56% | +27.4M shares |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $32.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $79,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $290,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $15.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
UMBF spent $38M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 116% from the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
UMBF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -9.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -13.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -17.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -13.6x | Net Cash |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
UMBF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.0 | Neutral |
UMBF's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UMBF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UMBF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 23% below |
| PE % | 15 | 63 | 48 pts below |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
UMBF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $133.2 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $139.6 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $129.9 | 2.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $119.4 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $100.2 | 33% above |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
UMBF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $68.8 | $69.2 | +0.5% |
| 2021 | $69.2 | $105.2 | +52% |
| 2022 | $105.2 | $82.2 | -22% |
| 2023 | $82.2 | $83.6 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $83.6 | $113.7 | +36% |
| 2025 | $113.7 | $118.9 | +4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.9 | $133.5 | +12% |
UMBF has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.