UMBF

UMB Financial Corporation

69
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

UMBF's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 27% and its operating margin rose 11 points to 43%. At 10x earnings, it's trading below its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

UMBF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

UMBF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UMBF.

UMBF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.6x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.6x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.7x$133—
Cheap10x$135+0.9%
Current10x$133—
Fair12x$160+20%
Expensive14x$188+41%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UMBF's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.7x.

UMBF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UMBF, with profitability improving.

UMBF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$170.45
Downside-11%$118.50

Calculated from the latest close: $133.48 on Nov 12.

UMBF's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +28% against −11%.

UMBF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.53Q2 2024: $7.75Q3 2024: $8.00Q4 2024: $8.99Q1 2025: $7.95Q2 2025: $8.70Q3 2025: $8.83Q4 2025: $9.29Q1 2026: $11.43Q2 2026: $12.17Q3 2026: $13.37Forward: $13.71
Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.53Q2 2024: $7.75Q3 2024: $8.00Q4 2024: $8.99Q1 2025: $7.95Q2 2025: $8.70Q3 2025: $8.83Q4 2025: $9.29Q1 2026: $11.43Q2 2026: $12.17Q3 2026: $13.37Forward: $13.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.71+2.5%
Q3 2026$13.37+51%
Q2 2026$12.17+40%
Q1 2026$11.43+44%
Q4 2025$9.29+3.3%
Q3 2025$8.83+10%
Q2 2025$8.70+12%
Q1 2025$7.95+5.6%
Q4 2024$8.99+25%

UMBF's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $13.37 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

UMBF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $371MQ1 2024: $399MQ2 2024: $390MQ3 2024: $406MQ4 2024: $434MQ1 2025: $564MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $721MQ1 2026: $739MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $772M
Q4 2023: $371MQ1 2024: $399MQ2 2024: $390MQ3 2024: $406MQ4 2024: $434MQ1 2025: $564MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $678MQ4 2025: $721MQ1 2026: $739MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $772M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$772.4M+14%
Q2 2026$778M+13%
Q1 2026$739.2M+31%
Q4 2025$720.9M+66%
Q3 2025$678.3M+67%
Q2 2025$689.2M+77%
Q1 2025$563.8M+41%
Q4 2024$434.2M+17%

UMBF's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $772M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

UMBF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$77MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $357MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $359M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$77MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $357MQ2 2026: $331MQ3 2026: $359M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$358.9M+39%
Q2 2026$330.8M+22%
Q1 2026$356.8M+0.7%
Q4 2025$95.3M+$172.4M
Q3 2025$257.8M+119%
Q2 2025$270.8M+154%
Q1 2025$354.2M+559%
Q4 2024-$77.1M-195%

UMBF's free cash flow was $1.1B over the past year, up 42% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UMBF.

UMBF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+112K shares
1 year+0.2%+137K shares
3 years+57%+27.8M shares
5 years+57%+27.8M shares
Available history+56%+27.4M shares

UMBF has 77M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UMBF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -7.0xQ1 2024: -9.5xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -11.0xQ4 2024: -13.6xQ1 2025: -17.5xQ2 2025: -13.9xQ3 2025: -9.7xQ4 2025: -7.2xQ1 2026: -4.6xQ2 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -7.0xQ1 2024: -9.5xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -11.0xQ4 2024: -13.6xQ1 2025: -17.5xQ2 2025: -13.9xQ3 2025: -9.7xQ4 2025: -7.2xQ1 2026: -4.6xQ2 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-13.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-17.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.6xNet Cash

UMBF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UMBF.

UMBF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic30.0Neutral

UMBF's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

UMBF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUMBFSector medianRelative
PE10x13x23% below
PE %156348 pts below

UMBF is trading at 10x earnings, a 23% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UMBF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$133.20.2% above
20 week MA$139.64.4% below
50 week MA$129.92.8% above
100 week MA$119.412% above
200 week MA$100.233% above

UMBF's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

UMBF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$68.8$69.2+0.5%
2021$69.2$105.2+52%
2022$105.2$82.2-22%
2023$82.2$83.6+1.7%
2024$83.6$113.7+36%
2025$113.7$118.9+4.6%
2026 YTD$118.9$133.5+12%

UMBF has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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