SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over UFCS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
UFCS
United Fire Group, Inc.
UFCS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
UFCS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UFCS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UFCS.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over UFCS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UFCS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $46.41 | -9.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $51.30 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $59.07 | +15% |
| Forward | 11x | $51.30 | — |
| Expensive | 44x | $229 | +347% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UFCS's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its fair range.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over UFCS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
UFCS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UFCS, with profitability holding steady.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
UFCS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.63 | -11% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.23 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.38 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.96 | +95% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.48 | +87% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.25 | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.52 | +146% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.54 | +$3.23 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.39 | +$3.57 |
UFCS has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over UFCS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over UFCS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UFCS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $391.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $383.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $369.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $365.8M | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $354M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $335.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $331.1M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $333.2M | +16% |
UFCS's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $392M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +9.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.5 points |
UFCS's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
UFCS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.1M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $34.2M | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.6M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $119.8M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $60.8M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $53.4M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.7M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $156.4M | +603% |
UFCS has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
UFCS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +271K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -201K shares |
| 3 years | +2.3% | +587K shares |
| 5 years | +4.3% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +2.3% | +584K shares |
UFCS has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2021 | $1M |
| Q2 2021 | $1M |
| Q1 2021 | $7,000 |
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over UFCS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UFCS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
UFCS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
UFCS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.4 | Neutral |
UFCS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UFCS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UFCS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 13x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 63 | 32 pts below |
UFCS has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
UFCS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.1 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $53.7 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.5 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.3 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.1 | 71% above |
UFCS has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
UFCS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.2 | $24.5 | -43% |
| 2021 | $24.5 | $23.3 | -4.9% |
| 2022 | $23.3 | $28.4 | +22% |
| 2023 | $28.4 | $20.1 | -29% |
| 2024 | $20.1 | $28.5 | +42% |
| 2025 | $28.5 | $36.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.4 | $51.3 | +41% |
UFCS has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.