UFCS
United Fire Group, Inc.
UFCS's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 12%, while its operating margin rose 1 points to 11%. At 9.8x earnings, it's trading below its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
UFCS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UFCS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UFCS.
UFCS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $46.41 | -9.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $51.30 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $59.07 | +15% |
| Forward | 11x | $51.30 | — |
| Expensive | 44x | $229 | +347% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UFCS's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its fair range.
UFCS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UFCS, with profitability holding steady.
UFCS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.63 | -11% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.23 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.38 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.96 | +95% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.48 | +87% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.25 | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.52 | +146% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.54 | +$3.23 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.39 | +$3.57 |
UFCS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.23 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
UFCS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $391.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $383.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $369.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $365.8M | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $354M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $335.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $331.1M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $333.2M | +16% |
UFCS's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $392M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +9.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.5 points |
UFCS's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UFCS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.1M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $34.2M | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.6M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $119.8M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $60.8M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $53.4M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.7M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $156.4M | +603% |
UFCS's free cash flow was $312M over the past year, up 1.8% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.
UFCS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +271K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -201K shares |
| 3 years | +2.3% | +587K shares |
| 5 years | +4.3% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +2.3% | +584K shares |
UFCS has 26M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2021 | $1M |
| Q2 2021 | $1M |
| Q1 2021 | $7,000 |
UFCS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
UFCS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.
UFCS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.4 | Neutral |
UFCS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
UFCS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UFCS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 13x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 63 | 32 pts below |
UFCS is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 25% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UFCS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.1 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $53.7 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.5 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.3 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.1 | 71% above |
UFCS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 71% above its 200-week average.
UFCS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.2 | $24.5 | -43% |
| 2021 | $24.5 | $23.3 | -4.9% |
| 2022 | $23.3 | $28.4 | +22% |
| 2023 | $28.4 | $20.1 | -29% |
| 2024 | $20.1 | $28.5 | +42% |
| 2025 | $28.5 | $36.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.4 | $51.3 | +41% |
UFCS is up 41% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.