SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over TRV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
TRV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
TRV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
TRV's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRV.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over TRV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TRV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $407 | +0.9% |
| Current | 11x | $403 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $505 | +25% |
| Forward | 13x | $403 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $603 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRV's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x, in its fair range.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over TRV on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
TRV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TRV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
TRV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.64 | -19% |
| Q3 2026 | $38.04 | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $37.24 | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.51 | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.43 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.43 | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.61 | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.37 | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.47 | +68% |
TRV has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over TRV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over TRV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TRV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.4B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.2B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.1B | +7.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8B | +5.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $12B | +9.9% |
TRV's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $12.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +9.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | -8.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +3.1 points |
TRV's operating margin was 19% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
TRV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9B | -8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +62% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.2B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | -1.9% |
TRV has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
TRV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -7.4% | -16.9M shares |
| 3 years | -8.9% | -20.5M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -39.5M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -51.7M shares |
TRV has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B |
| Q3 2025 | $619M |
| Q2 2025 | $500M |
| Q1 2025 | $250M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
TRV spent $6.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over TRV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TRV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
TRV has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRV.
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
TRV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 73.3 | Neutral |
TRV's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
TRV PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | TRV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 19% below |
| PE % | 15 | 63 | 48 pts below |
TRV has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
TRV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $384.3 | 4.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $374.7 | 7.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $327.7 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $295.1 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $247.2 | 63% above |
TRV has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
TRV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $136.8 | $138.5 | +1.2% |
| 2021 | $138.5 | $154.7 | +12% |
| 2022 | $154.7 | $189.5 | +23% |
| 2023 | $189.5 | $190.5 | +0.5% |
| 2024 | $190.5 | $241.4 | +27% |
| 2025 | $241.4 | $292.1 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $292.1 | $403.2 | +38% |
TRV has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.