TRV

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

63
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

TRV's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 6 points to 21% and earnings per share grew 50%. At 11x earnings, it's trading below its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TRV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TRV's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRV.

TRV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$407+0.9%
Current11x$403—
Fair13x$505+25%
Forward13x$403—
Expensive16x$603+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRV's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x, in its fair range.

TRV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect TRV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TRV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$462.68
Downside-11%$358.24

Calculated from the latest close: $403.18 on Nov 12.

TRV's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +15% against −11%.

TRV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $13.46Q2 2024: $15.82Q3 2024: $19.50Q4 2024: $21.47Q1 2025: $18.37Q2 2025: $22.61Q3 2025: $25.43Q4 2025: $27.43Q1 2026: $33.51Q2 2026: $37.24Q3 2026: $38.04Forward: $30.64
Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $13.46Q2 2024: $15.82Q3 2024: $19.50Q4 2024: $21.47Q1 2025: $18.37Q2 2025: $22.61Q3 2025: $25.43Q4 2025: $27.43Q1 2026: $33.51Q2 2026: $37.24Q3 2026: $38.04Forward: $30.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.64-19%
Q3 2026$38.04+50%
Q2 2026$37.24+65%
Q1 2026$33.51+82%
Q4 2025$27.43+28%
Q3 2025$25.43+30%
Q2 2025$22.61+43%
Q1 2025$18.37+36%
Q4 2024$21.47+68%

TRV's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $38.04 over the past year, up 50% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

TRV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10.9BQ1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.9BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $12.1BQ3 2025: $12.5BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.9BQ2 2026: $12.2BQ3 2026: $12.4B
Q4 2023: $10.9BQ1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.9BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $12.1BQ3 2025: $12.5BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.9BQ2 2026: $12.2BQ3 2026: $12.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.4B-0.5%
Q2 2026$12.2B+0.3%
Q1 2026$11.9B+1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+3.5%
Q3 2025$12.5B+4.8%
Q2 2025$12.1B+7.4%
Q1 2025$11.8B+5.2%
Q4 2024$12B+9.9%

TRV's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $12.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

TRV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B-8.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B-18%
Q1 2026$2.2B+62%
Q4 2025$2.7B+30%
Q3 2025$4.2B+9.1%
Q2 2025$2.3B+39%
Q1 2025$1.4B-6.7%
Q4 2024$2.1B-1.9%

TRV's free cash flow was $10.7B over the past year, up 6.9% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRV.

TRV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 232MQ2 2024: 232MQ3 2024: 231MQ4 2024: 231MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 228MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 211M
Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 232MQ2 2024: 232MQ3 2024: 231MQ4 2024: 231MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 228MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 211M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-3M shares
1 year-7.4%-16.9M shares
3 years-8.9%-20.5M shares
5 years-16%-39.5M shares
Available history-20%-51.7M shares

TRV has 211M diluted shares, down 7.4% from a year ago, with $6.2B in buybacks over the past year.

TRV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TRV has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRV.

TRV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.5Overbought
Stochastic73.3Neutral

TRV's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

TRV PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTRVSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %156348 pts below

TRV is trading at 11x earnings, a 19% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TRV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$384.34.9% above
20 week MA$374.77.6% above
50 week MA$327.723% above
100 week MA$295.137% above
200 week MA$247.263% above

TRV is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% above its 200-week average.

TRV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$136.8$138.5+1.2%
2021$138.5$154.7+12%
2022$154.7$189.5+23%
2023$189.5$190.5+0.5%
2024$190.5$241.4+27%
2025$241.4$292.1+21%
2026 YTD$292.1$403.2+38%

TRV has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 38% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key