SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over TRIN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TRIN

Trinity Capital Inc.

40
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TRIN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

TRIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

TRIN's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRIN.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over TRIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TRIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.8x5.5x8.3x11x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.8x5.5x8.3x11x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.3x$9.73-46%
Fair7.1x$13.17-26%
Forward8.6x$17.87—
Expensive8.9x$16.54-7.5%
Current9.7x$17.87—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRIN's PE is in its expensive range at 9.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.6x.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over TRIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

TRIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TRIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$19.79
Downside-14%$15.41

Calculated from the latest close: $17.87 on Nov 12.

TRIN trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over TRIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $1.59Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $2.09
Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $1.59Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.09+13%
Q3 2026$1.85-17%
Q2 2026$1.75-23%
Q1 2026$1.89-15%
Q4 2025$1.96-6.7%
Q3 2025$2.23+32%
Q2 2025$2.27+37%
Q1 2025$2.23+40%
Q4 2024$2.10+11%

TRIN earned $1.85 per share over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over TRIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $700,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $700,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1M+43%
Q2 2026$1.1M-27%
Q1 2026$900K-40%
Q4 2025$1.2M-29%
Q3 2025$700K-56%
Q2 2025$1.5M0%
Q1 2025$1.5M-63%
Q4 2024$1.7M-35%

TRIN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $1M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

TRIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$232MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$124MQ3 2025: −$184MQ4 2025: −$165MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$199MQ3 2026: −$66M
Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$232MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$124MQ3 2025: −$184MQ4 2025: −$165MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$199MQ3 2026: −$66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$66.3M+$117.3M
Q2 2026-$198.6M-$75.1M
Q1 2026-$45.8M+$17.6M
Q4 2025-$165M-996%
Q3 2025-$183.6M+$48.4M
Q2 2025-$123.5M-$101.6M
Q1 2025-$63.3M+$18.1M
Q4 2024$18.4M+$154.8M

TRIN has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has the edge over TRIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TRIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+4.6M shares
1 year+33%+23.6M shares
3 years+117%+51.3M shares

TRIN has 95M diluted shares, up 33% from a year ago.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

TRIN Net Leverage

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

TRIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.3Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

TRIN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TRIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTRINSector medianRelative
PE9.7x13x26% below
PE %956233 pts above

TRIN has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

TRIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.24% above
20 week MA$17.61.5% above
50 week MA$16.58.2% above
100 week MA$15.813% above
200 week MA$14.920% above

TRIN has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

TRIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.0$17.3+15%
2022$17.3$11.7-33%
2023$11.7$14.5+25%
2024$14.5$14.8+1.8%
2025$14.8$15.2+2.8%
2026 YTD$15.2$17.9+18%

TRIN has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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