TRIN

Trinity Capital Inc.

40
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TRIN's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 9.7x earnings, above its usual 7.1x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

TRIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

TRIN's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRIN.

TRIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.8x5.5x8.3x11x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.8x5.5x8.3x11x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.3x$9.73-46%
Fair7.1x$13.17-26%
Forward8.6x$17.87—
Expensive8.9x$16.54-7.5%
Current9.7x$17.87—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRIN's PE is in its expensive range at 9.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.6x.

TRIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TRIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

TRIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$19.79
Downside-14%$15.41

Calculated from the latest close: $17.87 on Nov 12.

TRIN's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −14% against +11%.

TRIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $1.59Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $2.09
Q4 2023: $1.89Q1 2024: $1.59Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.23Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $1.89Q2 2026: $1.75Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.09+13%
Q3 2026$1.85-17%
Q2 2026$1.75-23%
Q1 2026$1.89-15%
Q4 2025$1.96-6.7%
Q3 2025$2.23+32%
Q2 2025$2.27+37%
Q1 2025$2.23+40%
Q4 2024$2.10+11%

TRIN earned $1.85 per share over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

TRIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $700,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $700,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $900,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1M+43%
Q2 2026$1.1M-27%
Q1 2026$900K-40%
Q4 2025$1.2M-29%
Q3 2025$700K-56%
Q2 2025$1.5M0%
Q1 2025$1.5M-63%
Q4 2024$1.7M-35%

TRIN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $1M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

TRIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$232MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$124MQ3 2025: −$184MQ4 2025: −$165MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$199MQ3 2026: −$66M
Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$232MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$124MQ3 2025: −$184MQ4 2025: −$165MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: −$199MQ3 2026: −$66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$66.3M+$117.3M
Q2 2026-$198.6M-$75.1M
Q1 2026-$45.8M+$17.6M
Q4 2025-$165M-996%
Q3 2025-$183.6M+$48.4M
Q2 2025-$123.5M-$101.6M
Q1 2025-$63.3M+$18.1M
Q4 2024$18.4M+$154.8M

TRIN's free cash flow was −$476M over the past year, against −$352M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRIN.

TRIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+4.6M shares
1 year+33%+23.6M shares
3 years+117%+51.3M shares

TRIN has 95M diluted shares, up 33% from a year ago.

TRIN Net Leverage

TRIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.3Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

TRIN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

TRIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTRINSector medianRelative
PE9.7x13x26% below
PE %956233 pts above

TRIN is trading at 9.7x earnings, a 26% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TRIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.24% above
20 week MA$17.61.5% above
50 week MA$16.58.2% above
100 week MA$15.813% above
200 week MA$14.920% above

TRIN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% above its 200-week average.

TRIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$15.0$17.3+15%
2022$17.3$11.7-33%
2023$11.7$14.5+25%
2024$14.5$14.8+1.8%
2025$14.8$15.2+2.8%
2026 YTD$15.2$17.9+18%

TRIN has finished higher in four of the last five years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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