SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
TMP has the edge over SOFI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
TMP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
TMP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TMP.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over TMP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TMP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8x | $100 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $133 | +33% |
| Forward | 12x | $100 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $161 | +61% |
| Expensive | 17x | $210 | +109% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMP's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over TMP on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
TMP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect TMP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
TMP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.23 | -35% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.58 | +113% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.23 | +120% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.69 | +127% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.24 | +126% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.91 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.56 | +456% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.16 | +953% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.97 | +653% |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over TMP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
TMP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $89.9M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.1M | +5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.7M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $194.8M | +153% |
| Q3 2025 | $87.4M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $82.6M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $81.7M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $77.1M | +8.3% |
TMP's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $90M last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +6.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 72% | +38 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +5.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +7.9 points |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
TMP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $36.9M | +8.8% |
| Q2 2026 | -$17.1M | -194% |
| Q1 2026 | $71.1M | +241% |
| Q4 2025 | -$41.1M | -290% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.9M | +79% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.3M | -31% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9M | -4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.7M | +24% |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
TMP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +12.5K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +631 shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +121K shares |
| 5 years | -1.5% | -222K shares |
| Available history | -4.2% | -628K shares |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $964,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $23,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $2.3M |
| Q2 2023 | $6.4M |
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
TMP Net Leverage
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
TMP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.4 | Neutral |
TMP's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
TMP PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | TMP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 13x | 39% below |
| PE % | 7 | 63 | 56 pts below |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
TMP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $99.0 | 1.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.3 | 1.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $87.7 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $76.4 | 31% above |
| 200 week MA | $66.9 | 50% above |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.
TMP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $90.3 | $70.0 | -22% |
| 2021 | $70.0 | $82.4 | +18% |
| 2022 | $82.4 | $77.4 | -6.1% |
| 2023 | $77.4 | $60.2 | -22% |
| 2024 | $60.2 | $68.0 | +13% |
| 2025 | $68.0 | $74.1 | +9% |
| 2026 YTD | $74.1 | $100.1 | +35% |
TMP has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.