TMP

Tompkins Financial Corporation

73
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

TMP's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 8.0x earnings, below its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TMP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

TMP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TMP.

TMP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x123x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8x$100—
Cheap11x$133+33%
Forward12x$100—
Fair13x$161+61%
Expensive17x$210+109%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMP's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.

TMP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TMP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

TMP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$126.46
Downside-15%$85.05

Calculated from the latest close: $100.14 on Nov 12.

TMP's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +26% against −15%.

TMP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.66Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $1.00Q3 2024: $4.65Q4 2024: $4.97Q1 2025: $5.16Q2 2025: $5.56Q3 2025: $5.91Q4 2025: $11.24Q1 2026: $11.69Q2 2026: $12.23Q3 2026: $12.58Forward: $8.23
Q4 2023: $0.66Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $1.00Q3 2024: $4.65Q4 2024: $4.97Q1 2025: $5.16Q2 2025: $5.56Q3 2025: $5.91Q4 2025: $11.24Q1 2026: $11.69Q2 2026: $12.23Q3 2026: $12.58Forward: $8.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.23-35%
Q3 2026$12.58+113%
Q2 2026$12.23+120%
Q1 2026$11.69+127%
Q4 2025$11.24+126%
Q3 2025$5.91+27%
Q2 2025$5.56+456%
Q1 2025$5.16+953%
Q4 2024$4.97+653%

TMP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.58 over the past year, up 113% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

TMP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $195MQ1 2026: $84MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $195MQ1 2026: $84MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$89.9M+2.8%
Q2 2026$87.1M+5.4%
Q1 2026$83.7M+2.4%
Q4 2025$194.8M+153%
Q3 2025$87.4M+14%
Q2 2025$82.6M+14%
Q1 2025$81.7M+12%
Q4 2024$77.1M+8.3%

TMP's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $90M last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$41MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$41MQ1 2026: $71MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.9M+8.8%
Q2 2026-$17.1M-194%
Q1 2026$71.1M+241%
Q4 2025-$41.1M-290%
Q3 2025$33.9M+79%
Q2 2025$18.3M-31%
Q1 2025$20.9M-4.5%
Q4 2024$21.7M+24%

TMP's free cash flow was $50M over the past year, down 47% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TMP.

TMP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+12.5K shares
1 year0%+631 shares
3 years+0.9%+121K shares
5 years-1.5%-222K shares
Available history-4.2%-628K shares

TMP has 14M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMP Net Leverage

TMP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic51.4Neutral

TMP's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

TMP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTMPSector medianRelative
PE8x13x39% below
PE %76356 pts below

TMP is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 39% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TMP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.01.1% above
20 week MA$98.31.9% above
50 week MA$87.714% above
100 week MA$76.431% above
200 week MA$66.950% above

TMP is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% above its 200-week average.

TMP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$90.3$70.0-22%
2021$70.0$82.4+18%
2022$82.4$77.4-6.1%
2023$77.4$60.2-22%
2024$60.2$68.0+13%
2025$68.0$74.1+9%
2026 YTD$74.1$100.1+35%

TMP is up 35% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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