SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over TFIN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TFIN

Triumph Financial, Inc.

60
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

TFIN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

TFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TFIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TFIN.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over TFIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x106x141x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x106x141x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$30.11-49%
Forward18x$59.05—
Fair24x$47.63-19%
Current30x$59.05—
Expensive57x$112+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TFIN's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

TFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TFIN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI trails TFIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$106.54
Downside-13%$51.36

Calculated from the latest close: $59.05 on Nov 12.

TFIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SOFI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

TFIN has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is flat for SOFI versus TFIN up 148%.

TFIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.61Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.11Q3 2024: $0.79Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2026: $1.19Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.96Forward: $3.22
Q4 2023: $1.61Q1 2024: $1.32Q2 2024: $1.11Q3 2024: $0.79Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2026: $1.19Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.96Forward: $3.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.22+64%
Q4 2024$0.54-66%
Q3 2024$0.79-58%
Q2 2024$1.11-45%
Q1 2024$1.32-62%
Q4 2023$1.61-59%
Q3 2023$1.90-56%
Q2 2023$2.01-56%
Q1 2023$3.46-13%

TFIN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.96 over the past year, against $4.62 in mid-2022.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over TFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $104MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $104MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.7M+15%
Q2 2026$120.2M+11%
Q1 2026$105.8M+4.2%
Q4 2025$120.1M+16%
Q3 2025$109.3M+2.9%
Q2 2025$108.1M+2.8%
Q1 2025$101.6M+0.5%
Q4 2024$103.6M-2.4%

TFIN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $126M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

TFIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.3M-5.3%
Q1 2026$3.3M+$6.3M
Q4 2025$36.5M-1.3%
Q3 2025$22.4M+5.8%
Q1 2025-$3M+$13M
Q4 2024$37M+46%
Q3 2024$21.2M+136%
Q2 2024$16.3M+106%

TFIN has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

TFIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3.1K shares
1 year+0.9%+221K shares
3 years+2.9%+686K shares
5 years-4.3%-1.1M shares
Available history-7.3%-1.9M shares

TFIN has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

TFIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.8xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -7.2xQ2 2026: -11.4xQ3 2026: -10.9x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: -3.9xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -4.8xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -7.2xQ2 2026: -11.4xQ3 2026: -10.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-10.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-11.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.2xNet Cash
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.8xNet Cash

TFIN has the edge over SOFI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

TFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.6Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

TFIN's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI has the edge over TFIN on valuation relative to its sector.

TFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTFINSector medianRelative
PE30x13x131% above
PE %58635 pts below

TFIN is trading at 30x earnings, a 131% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over TFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.74.3% below
20 week MA$69.115% below
50 week MA$66.511% below
100 week MA$64.28% below
200 week MA$68.013% below

TFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

TFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.4$48.3+26%
2021$48.3$113.1+134%
2022$113.1$49.4-56%
2023$49.4$80.2+62%
2024$80.2$90.9+13%
2025$90.9$64.0-30%
2026 YTD$64.0$59.1-7.8%

TFIN has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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