TFIN
Triumph Financial, Inc.
TFIN's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 10 points to 14% and earnings per share more than doubled. At 30x earnings, it's trading above its usual 25x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
TFIN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
TFIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TFIN.
TFIN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $30.11 | -49% |
| Forward | 18x | $59.05 | — |
| Fair | 24x | $47.63 | -19% |
| Current | 30x | $59.05 | — |
| Expensive | 57x | $112 | +89% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TFIN's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
TFIN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TFIN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TFIN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.22 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.54 | -66% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.79 | -58% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.11 | -45% |
| Q1 2024 | $1.32 | -62% |
| Q4 2023 | $1.61 | -59% |
| Q3 2023 | $1.90 | -56% |
| Q2 2023 | $2.01 | -56% |
| Q1 2023 | $3.46 | -13% |
TFIN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.96 over the past year, against $4.62 in mid-2022.
TFIN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.7M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $120.2M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $105.8M | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $120.1M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $109.3M | +2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.1M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $101.6M | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $103.6M | -2.4% |
TFIN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $126M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7% | +7.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +14 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.3% | +3.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -4.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.6% | -6.4 points |
TFIN's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TFIN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.3M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3M | +$6.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $36.5M | -1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.4M | +5.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3M | +$13M |
| Q4 2024 | $37M | +46% |
| Q3 2024 | $21.2M | +136% |
| Q2 2024 | $16.3M | +106% |
TFIN's free cash flow was $104M over the past year, up 34% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFIN.
TFIN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -3.1K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +221K shares |
| 3 years | +2.9% | +686K shares |
| 5 years | -4.3% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | -7.3% | -1.9M shares |
TFIN has 24M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $92,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $128,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $1,000 |
TFIN spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, about the same as the year before.
TFIN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -10.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -11.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.8x | Net Cash |
TFIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TFIN.
TFIN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.4 | Oversold |
TFIN's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
TFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | TFIN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30x | 13x | 131% above |
| PE % | 58 | 63 | 5 pts below |
TFIN is trading at 30x earnings, a 131% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
TFIN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.7 | 4.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $69.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $66.5 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $64.2 | 8% below |
| 200 week MA | $68.0 | 13% below |
TFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.
TFIN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.4 | $48.3 | +26% |
| 2021 | $48.3 | $113.1 | +134% |
| 2022 | $113.1 | $49.4 | -56% |
| 2023 | $49.4 | $80.2 | +62% |
| 2024 | $80.2 | $90.9 | +13% |
| 2025 | $90.9 | $64.0 | -30% |
| 2026 YTD | $64.0 | $59.1 | -7.8% |
TFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +134% in 2021 to −56% in 2022. It's down 7.8% so far in 2026.