SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over SYF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SYF

Synchrony Financial

53
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SYF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

SYF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SYF's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SYF.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over SYF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SYF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$49.53-31%
Fair7x$67.12-6.3%
Forward7.1x$71.66—
Current7.5x$71.66—
Expensive8.9x$85.17+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SYF's PE is in its fair range at 7.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.1x next year's earnings.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over SYF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SYF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SYF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SYF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SYF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$89.70
Downside-14%$61.62

Calculated from the latest close: $71.66 on Nov 12.

SYF trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

SYF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $6.98Q2 2024: $7.21Q3 2024: $7.67Q4 2024: $8.55Q1 2025: $7.30Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $9.17Q4 2025: $9.28Q1 2026: $9.66Q2 2026: $9.75Q3 2026: $9.57Forward: $10.03
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $6.98Q2 2024: $7.21Q3 2024: $7.67Q4 2024: $8.55Q1 2025: $7.30Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $9.17Q4 2025: $9.28Q1 2026: $9.66Q2 2026: $9.75Q3 2026: $9.57Forward: $10.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.03+4.8%
Q3 2026$9.57+4.4%
Q2 2026$9.75+18%
Q1 2026$9.66+32%
Q4 2025$9.28+8.5%
Q3 2025$9.17+20%
Q2 2025$8.25+14%
Q1 2025$7.30+4.6%
Q4 2024$8.55+65%

SYF has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over SYF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SYF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+1.4%
Q2 2026$4.7B+2.3%
Q1 2026$4.8B+3.4%
Q4 2025$4.9B+3.5%
Q3 2025$4.8B+2.5%
Q2 2025$4.6B+2.6%
Q1 2025$4.6B-17%
Q4 2024$4.7B+4%

SYF's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.9B last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

SYF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B-5.3%
Q2 2026$2.4B-5.5%
Q1 2026$2.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$2.5B+4.3%
Q3 2025$2.6B-4.6%
Q2 2025$2.6B+3.1%
Q1 2025$2.2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.4B+1.6%

SYF has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

SYF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 424MQ1 2024: 408MQ2 2024: 403MQ3 2024: 397MQ4 2024: 401MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 379MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 374MQ1 2026: 346MQ2 2026: 334MQ3 2026: 322M
Q4 2023: 424MQ1 2024: 408MQ2 2024: 403MQ3 2024: 397MQ4 2024: 401MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 379MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 374MQ1 2026: 346MQ2 2026: 334MQ3 2026: 322M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-11.7M shares
1 year-13%-47.5M shares
3 years-23%-96M shares
5 years-43%-243M shares
Available history-52%-351M shares

SYF has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over SYF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SYF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SYF's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SYF.

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SYF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

SYF's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SYF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSYFSector medianRelative
PE7.5x13x42% below
PE %58635 pts below

SYF has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

SYF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.22.1% below
20 week MA$75.24.8% below
50 week MA$75.04.4% below
100 week MA$70.12.2% above
200 week MA$55.130% above

SYF has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

SYF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.3$34.0-6.4%
2021$34.0$46.2+36%
2022$46.2$32.8-29%
2023$32.8$38.2+17%
2024$38.2$65.9+73%
2025$65.9$86.0+30%
2026 YTD$86.0$71.7-17%

SYF has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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