SYF

Synchrony Financial

53
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SYF's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew only 2.6%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 23%. At 7.5x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 7.0x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SYF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SYF's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SYF.

SYF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$49.53-31%
Fair7x$67.12-6.3%
Forward7.2x$71.66—
Current7.5x$71.66—
Expensive8.9x$85.17+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SYF's PE is in its fair range at 7.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

SYF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SYF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SYF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$89.70
Downside-14%$61.62

Calculated from the latest close: $71.66 on Nov 12.

SYF's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +25% against −14%.

SYF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $6.98Q2 2024: $7.21Q3 2024: $7.67Q4 2024: $8.55Q1 2025: $7.30Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $9.17Q4 2025: $9.28Q1 2026: $9.66Q2 2026: $9.75Q3 2026: $9.57Forward: $10.02
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $6.98Q2 2024: $7.21Q3 2024: $7.67Q4 2024: $8.55Q1 2025: $7.30Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $9.17Q4 2025: $9.28Q1 2026: $9.66Q2 2026: $9.75Q3 2026: $9.57Forward: $10.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.02+4.7%
Q3 2026$9.57+4.4%
Q2 2026$9.75+18%
Q1 2026$9.66+32%
Q4 2025$9.28+8.5%
Q3 2025$9.17+20%
Q2 2025$8.25+14%
Q1 2025$7.30+4.6%
Q4 2024$8.55+65%

SYF's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $9.57 over the past year, up 4.4% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

SYF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+1.4%
Q2 2026$4.7B+2.3%
Q1 2026$4.8B+3.4%
Q4 2025$4.9B+3.5%
Q3 2025$4.8B+2.5%
Q2 2025$4.6B+2.6%
Q1 2025$4.6B-17%
Q4 2024$4.7B+4%

SYF's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.9B last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SYF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B-5.3%
Q2 2026$2.4B-5.5%
Q1 2026$2.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$2.5B+4.3%
Q3 2025$2.6B-4.6%
Q2 2025$2.6B+3.1%
Q1 2025$2.2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.4B+1.6%

SYF's free cash flow was $9.6B over the past year, down 2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SYF.

SYF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 424MQ1 2024: 408MQ2 2024: 403MQ3 2024: 397MQ4 2024: 401MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 379MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 374MQ1 2026: 346MQ2 2026: 334MQ3 2026: 322M
Q4 2023: 424MQ1 2024: 408MQ2 2024: 403MQ3 2024: 397MQ4 2024: 401MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 379MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 374MQ1 2026: 346MQ2 2026: 334MQ3 2026: 322M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-11.7M shares
1 year-13%-47.5M shares
3 years-23%-96M shares
5 years-43%-243M shares
Available history-52%-351M shares

SYF has 322M diluted shares, down 13% from a year ago, with $3.8B in buybacks over the past year.

SYF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SYF's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SYF.

SYF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

SYF's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

SYF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSYFSector medianRelative
PE7.5x13x42% below
PE %58635 pts below

SYF is trading at 7.5x earnings, a 42% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SYF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.22.1% below
20 week MA$75.24.8% below
50 week MA$75.04.4% below
100 week MA$70.12.2% above
200 week MA$55.130% above

SYF has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 30% above its 200-week average.

SYF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.3$34.0-6.4%
2021$34.0$46.2+36%
2022$46.2$32.8-29%
2023$32.8$38.2+17%
2024$38.2$65.9+73%
2025$65.9$86.0+30%
2026 YTD$86.0$71.7-17%

SYF has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

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