SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over VRRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

VRRM

Verra Mobility Corporation

45
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

VRRM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

VRRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VRRM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK has the edge over VRRM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VRRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x459x688x918x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x459x688x918x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward2.6x$1.96—
Current8.2x$1.96—
Cheap31x$7.49+282%
Fair46x$11.05+464%
Expensive111x$26.65+1260%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRRM's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 2.6x.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over VRRM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

VRRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VRRM's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VRRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$2.23
Downside-56%$0.87

Calculated from the latest close: $1.96 on Nov 12.

VRRM trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over VRRM in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

VRRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.34Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.75
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.34Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.75+214%
Q3 2026$0.24-29%
Q2 2026$0.260%
Q1 2026$0.82+273%
Q4 2025$0.85+347%
Q3 2025$0.34-43%
Q2 2025$0.26-54%
Q1 2025$0.22-56%
Q4 2024$0.19-47%

VRRM earned $0.24 per share over the past year, down 29% from the year before.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK has the edge over VRRM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28.3M-21%
Q2 2026$25.8M-22%
Q1 2026$27.3M-13%
Q4 2025$32.7M+0.7%
Q3 2025$35.7M+26%
Q2 2025$33.2M+15%
Q1 2025$31.4M+19%
Q4 2024$32.4M+17%

VRRM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $28M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over VRRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$89.4M+83%
Q2 2026$32.6M-19%
Q1 2026$9.6M-77%
Q4 2025$5.7M-73%
Q3 2025$49M-42%
Q2 2025$40.3M+55%
Q1 2025$41.7M+108%
Q4 2024$21.6M+12%

VRRM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $137M over the past year.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

VRRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+175K shares
1 year-6%-9.7M shares
3 years-10%-17.4M shares
5 years-8%-13.3M shares
Available history-7.5%-12.3M shares

VRRM has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over VRRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VRRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.9xElevated

VRRM's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

VRRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI18.4Oversold
Stochastic2.7Oversold

VRRM's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK has the edge over VRRM on valuation relative to its sector.

VRRM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVRRMSector medianRelative
PE8.2x28x71% below
PE %33532 pts below

VRRM is trading at 8.2x earnings, a 71% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

VRRM has stronger trend alignment. SNDK is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus VRRM above 0 of 5.

VRRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.7428% below
20 week MA$3.6747% below
50 week MA$10.882% below
100 week MA$17.389% below
200 week MA$19.790% below

VRRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over VRRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$13.5-3.6%
2021$13.5$15.2+12%
2022$15.2$13.5-11%
2023$13.5$23.0+71%
2024$23.0$24.1+4.6%
2025$24.1$22.5-6.6%
2026 YTD$22.5$1.96-91%

VRRM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 91% so far in 2026.

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