SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over UPBD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

UPBD

Upbound Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

UPBD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

UPBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

UPBD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK has the edge over UPBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UPBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE60x121x181x242x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE60x121x181x242x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.3x$23.88—
Cheap11x$21.16-11%
Current13x$23.88—
Fair15x$28.18+18%
Expensive31x$59.71+150%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UPBD's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over UPBD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

UPBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect UPBD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UPBD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UPBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$32.47
Downside-21%$18.75

Calculated from the latest close: $23.88 on Nov 12.

UPBD trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over UPBD in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

UPBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-0.43Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $2.21Q1 2025: $2.13Q2 2025: $1.78Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $1.44Q2 2026: $1.55Q3 2026: $1.91Forward: $4.52
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-0.43Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $2.21Q1 2025: $2.13Q2 2025: $1.78Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $1.44Q2 2026: $1.55Q3 2026: $1.91Forward: $4.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.52+136%
Q3 2026$1.91+32%
Q2 2026$1.55-13%
Q1 2026$1.44-32%
Q4 2025$1.25-43%
Q3 2025$1.45-2%
Q2 2025$1.78+76%
Q1 2025$2.13+$2.56
Q4 2024$2.21+$2.30

UPBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.91 over the past year, against $3.86 in early 2020.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK has the edge over UPBD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UPBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-1.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B+0.5%
Q1 2026$1.2B+3.7%
Q4 2025$1.2B+11%
Q3 2025$1.2B+9%
Q2 2025$1.2B+7.5%
Q1 2025$1.2B+7.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B+6%

UPBD's revenue has held roughly level: $1.1B last quarter, down 1.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK generated $17.4B in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

UPBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $613,000Q3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: −$74MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $147M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $613,000Q3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: −$74MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$147M+50%
Q2 2026$107.8M+$118.2M
Q1 2026$154.7M+22%
Q4 2025$24M+$98.1M
Q3 2025$97.9M+11%
Q2 2025-$10.4M-1802%
Q1 2025$127.2M+278%
Q4 2024-$74M-$37.1M

UPBD has the edge over SNDK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

UPBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+59K shares
1 year-0.2%-123K shares
3 years+3.4%+1.9M shares
5 years-14%-9.4M shares
Available history+5%+2.8M shares

UPBD has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has more cash than debt.

UPBD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

UPBD has the edge over SNDK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

UPBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic86.5Overbought

UPBD's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK has the edge over UPBD on valuation relative to its sector.

UPBD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUPBDSector medianRelative
PE13x28x55% below
PE %33352 pts below

UPBD is trading at 13x earnings, a 55% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

UPBD has stronger trend alignment. SNDK is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus UPBD above 4 of 5.

UPBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.728% above
20 week MA$19.224% above
50 week MA$19.125% above
100 week MA$21.710% above
200 week MA$26.28.9% below

UPBD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 8.9% below its 200-week average.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over UPBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UPBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.5$38.2+34%
2021$38.2$48.1+26%
2022$48.1$22.6-53%
2023$22.6$34.0+50%
2024$34.0$29.2-14%
2025$29.2$17.6-40%
2026 YTD$17.6$23.9+36%

UPBD is up 36% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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